NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	4.4 [964]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +4.9%
New Orleans Hornets	62		Comeback	1.6 [654]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -24.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	13	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maalik Wayns	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	14	45%	0.03	7	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.02	0.04	10	32%	-0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	10	41%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	9	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	11	36%	-0.07	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.07	-0.01	13	27%	-0.10	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	29.2	17.5	26.5	3.4	27.4	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.4%

NOH -2.3%

PHI +3.7%

PHI +21.3%

PHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOH	NBA	PHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.4	84.6	68.9	104.1
season	15.5	16.3		100.5	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	13.0	15.1	18.8	15.2
NOH	15.9	17.8	15.6	17.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	54	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-5	25	14.4	16.4	-1.96	16.8	16.3	0.47
Jrue Holiday	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-3	21	15.2	15.6	-0.46	16.8	15.7	1.10
Thaddeus Young	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-1	17	15.3	15.1	0.12	16.7	16.3	0.31
Dorell Wright	48	47	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	6	3	15.7	14.7	0.94	15.8	17.4	-1.63
Evan Turner	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	3	9	15.1	15.7	-0.67	16.7	16.3	0.36
Royal Ivey	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	8	-1	15.1	15.4	-0.27	17.3	16.0	1.30
Nick Young	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	13	-11	14.4	15.8	-1.37	16.4	16.7	-0.38
Spencer Hawes	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	13	-11	16.1	14.6	1.51	17.0	16.3	0.67
Maalik Wayns	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	19.0	15.2	3.84	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Arnett Moultrie	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	19.2	15.1	4.19	12.7	16.7	-4.06
Damien Wilkins	20	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	18	-21	16.0	15.0	0.97	15.5	16.9	-1.40

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	26	27	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-24	33	16.7	16.5	0.15	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Hakim Warrick	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-10	5	18.6	16.2	2.35	12.1	15.8	-3.75
Lance Thomas	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-14	13	16.9	16.5	0.38	17.2	14.9	2.23
Jason Smith	27	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.5	17.0	-1.53	15.5	15.1	0.42
Greivis Vasquez	63	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	0	-15	16.0	17.9	-1.86	15.5	14.8	0.71
Roger Mason Jr.	32	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-8	1	17.8	15.9	1.95	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Ryan Anderson	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-4	-7	16.1	17.8	-1.62	15.6	14.4	1.15
Brian Roberts	33	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-8	1	18.1	15.7	2.32	15.4	15.1	0.26
Robin Lopez	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-3	-9	17.3	15.2	2.03	14.8	16.0	-1.17
Darius Miller	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-10	5	15.0	18.1	-3.15	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Al-Farouq Aminu	74	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.6	16.6	0.03	15.4	14.4	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	95.3%
TOR 127, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 128, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	95.0%