NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	5.2 [759]		MVP	Darius Miles (LAC): +6.8%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.8 [746]		LVP	Corie Blount (GSW): -15.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	76%	0.07	2	-0.01	9	89%	0.04
Cherokee Parks	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	74%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	7	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	16	51%	0.03	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	16	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Garner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	12	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	17	35%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.05	0.06	36	46%	-0.13	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.03
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	10	29%	-0.11	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	28.7	16.0	22.3	1.6	29.2	123.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +58.2%

LAC +9.7%

GSW -22.8%

LAC +3.3%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.5	110.4	98.9	100.9
season	16.1	15.0		99.5	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		104.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	15.8	18.2	12.5	15.0
GSW	14.6	14.8	16.1	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	73	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.01	24	-12	36	14.9	15.3	-0.33	15.4	14.3	1.14
Lamar Odom	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.06	21	-9	30	14.9	15.4	-0.49	15.3	14.8	0.47
Eric Piatkowski	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	3	6	16.3	14.0	2.30	16.1	14.3	1.77
Cherokee Parks	29	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	3	6	16.1	14.5	1.62	16.4	14.6	1.87
Michael Olowokandi	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	1	10	14.6	15.3	-0.69	15.7	14.7	1.00
Sean Rooks	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.21	1	11	-10	15.3	14.6	0.69	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Darius Miles	67	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	14.5	16.1	-1.62	14.6	16.4	-1.87
Corey Maggette	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	6	0	14.2	15.7	-1.57	14.4	15.8	-1.33
Quentin Richardson	25	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	22	-32	15.2	15.0	0.20	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Keyon Dooling	31	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.22	-14	26	-40	14.8	15.1	-0.30	13.9	15.7	-1.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-18	24	14.5	15.3	-0.80	12.9	15.5	-2.54
Paul McPherson	36	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	15.0	15.2	-0.19	13.7	15.8	-2.15
Erick Dampier	45	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-8	4	14.9	15.4	-0.45	14.6	15.4	-0.85
Corie Blount	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-1	-10	15.2	15.1	0.03	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Chris Porter	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-8	4	15.1	15.2	-0.06	15.5	13.0	2.48
Adonal Foyle	66	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	5	-22	15.4	14.6	0.76	15.7	13.8	1.86
Vonteego Cummings	77	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	6	-24	15.3	14.5	0.80	15.5	12.9	2.54
Antawn Jamison	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	15.1	0.0	15.15	15.0	0.0	15.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 101, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DAL 105, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.08,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%