inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 101 Excitement4.5 [901] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +17.8%
Washington Wizards 80 Comeback2.0 [687] LVPMitch Richmond (WAS): -16.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0.180,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.200.020.058105%0.1800.004100%0.01
Karl Malone0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.022361%0.123-0.071080%0.04
Bryon Russell0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01956%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01283%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Quincy Lewis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.04333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Pete Chilcutt0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Stockton-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.030.031055%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.01444%-0.033-0.0710%-0.01
Olden Polynice-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.011045%-0.023-0.0820%-0.04
Howard Eisley-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.02714%-0.062-0.0500%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.000.03878%0.082-0.05786%0.02
Michael Smith0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02867%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Gerard King0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Laron Profit0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00267%0.002-0.0520%-0.04
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00362%-0.002-0.06250%-0.02
Reggie Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01250%0.003-0.08250%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.02822%-0.1010.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.011146%-0.063-0.04450%-0.01
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.14-0.03-0.011547%-0.056-0.12683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.423.515.528.52.631.1127.4
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +36.6%
UTA +5.0%
WAS -2.3%
UTA +11.2%
WAS -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAWASNBAUTAWASNBA
this game16.114.915.2108.686.0101.7
season16.315.5104.5101.1
opponent14.815.2104.4100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.216.014.017.316.1
WAS14.116.816.012.714.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone73720.65-0.150.80-0.2330-93916.016.5-0.5614.516.0-1.41
Olden Polynice59580.54-0.040.58-0.1925-42915.617.1-1.5014.615.3-0.77
Jeff Hornacek63640.51-0.010.52-0.1623-22515.317.8-2.5514.216.4-2.26
John Stockton52520.51-0.010.52-0.1924-32716.315.90.4115.014.70.32
Bryon Russell71730.330.170.17-0.11156916.614.52.0515.811.44.34
Quincy Lewis23220.110.39-0.290.05219-1714.316.7-2.3413.115.4-2.26
Howard Eisley47460.090.41-0.330.11-122-2317.115.12.0615.414.31.09
Scott Padgett13110.050.45-0.41-0.01219-1716.316.10.2311.315.3-4.07
Greg Ostertag3435-0.040.54-0.580.08-425-2917.115.61.5015.314.60.77
Jacque Vaughn2021-0.110.61-0.720.04-526-3116.616.00.6316.114.51.66
Pete Chilcutt1011-0.140.64-0.780.04-627-3315.816.1-0.3416.514.61.81

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy Murray41440.00-0.500.500.09-3-181513.915.6-1.7615.516.7-1.15
Laron Profit550.00-0.500.500.000-21217.615.3-7.6714.416.2-1.80
Gerard King88-0.00-0.500.500.21-7-1479.215.4-6.149.916.7-6.82
Reggie Jordan2423-0.01-0.490.480.20-7-14714.615.0-0.3712.617.3-4.71
Chris Whitney2929-0.08-0.420.340.21-10-11115.714.51.2612.817.6-4.77
Aaron Williams3738-0.10-0.400.29-0.162-232515.514.41.0417.315.32.09
Jahidi White2830-0.11-0.390.280.07-6-15916.114.31.8415.916.2-0.31
Ike Austin4947-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-7-715.014.70.2516.116.10.08
Rod Strickland5959-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.10-11-10-115.114.50.5217.913.14.81
Michael Smith5957-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.00-16-5-1114.814.9-0.0316.016.3-0.32
Mitch Richmond6970-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.08-14-7-715.014.60.3717.312.64.71
Juwan Howard5755-0.500.00-0.510.05-19-2-1715.214.30.9516.915.01.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 106, GSW 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
CHA 113, MIL 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.3%
UTA 96, PHX 820.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%