NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	4.4 [927]		MVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): +6.5%
Phoenix Suns	82		Comeback	2.0 [365]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -26.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	24	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	13	77%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	7	89%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.06	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	54%	-0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	93%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.04	9	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.08	0.04	15	50%	-0.05	8	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	27.4	14.7	32.3	2.5	29.2	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.3%

UTA +9.7%

UTA +18.0%

UTA +21.5%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	14.6	15.2	106.7	89.1	101.7
season	16.3	14.8		104.5	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		96.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	16.2	14.6	20.3	17.1
PHX	15.1	16.5	13.6	13.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	66	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.06	23	-9	32	16.3	19.4	-3.14	14.5	14.8	-0.38
Karl Malone	72	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.08	23	-9	32	16.4	19.8	-3.40	14.7	13.9	0.85
Jeff Hornacek	67	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-4	22	16.5	19.0	-2.54	15.3	12.9	2.46
Olden Polynice	43	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	1	12	15.7	18.4	-2.66	14.7	14.4	0.34
Bryon Russell	63	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	3	8	17.7	15.9	1.80	15.3	12.9	2.35
Adam Keefe	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	13	-12	16.3	17.5	-1.25	12.8	15.5	-2.74
Armen Gilliam	44	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	13	-12	18.3	16.0	2.32	14.7	14.5	0.17
Howard Eisley	34	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	18.9	16.0	2.89	14.6	14.5	0.13
Scott Padgett	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	19	-24	16.7	17.1	-0.38	6.7	14.9	-8.17
Quincy Lewis	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	16.7	17.1	-0.38	7.7	14.8	-7.13
Greg Ostertag	13	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	16	-18	20.9	16.5	4.46	15.0	14.5	0.53
Jacque Vaughn	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	22	-30	21.4	16.6	4.81	13.3	14.7	-1.42

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	14	11	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-17	20	14.8	14.5	0.26	22.5	16.4	6.09
Don MacLean	8	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-17	20	9.1	15.1	-5.96	18.0	17.0	0.96
Toby Bailey	12	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	12.2	14.9	-2.66	17.4	17.1	0.29
Luc Longley	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.01	-3	-11	8	15.5	14.0	1.48	17.1	17.1	-0.08
Randy Livingston	48	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-11	8	14.5	14.6	-0.05	18.3	15.5	2.82
Todd Day	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	-1	-12	15.1	14.2	0.94	16.6	17.4	-0.79
Shawn Marion	70	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-2	-10	14.5	14.6	-0.09	17.5	16.0	1.47
Rodney Rogers	60	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	14.4	14.8	-0.43	16.9	17.4	-0.49
Oliver Miller	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	0	-14	14.8	14.2	0.56	17.0	17.2	-0.21
Clifford Robinson	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-2	-10	14.8	14.2	0.61	16.1	19.2	-3.10
Anfernee Hardaway	67	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	-1	-12	14.6	14.4	0.17	16.2	19.7	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 97, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 92, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%