NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	113		Excitement	5.0 [836]		MVP	Walter Herrmann (CHA): +19.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	1.8 [427]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (MIL): -15.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.27	0.03	0.10	15	97%	0.24	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	13	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Alan Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	14	73%	0.19	5	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.05	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	69%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	72%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Damir Markota	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynn Greer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	78%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	4	-0.09	9	44%	-0.06
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	8	48%	0.01	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.8	15.7	27.3	2.5	28.5	126.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.7%

MIL -6.5%

MIL -1.4%

CHA +16.1%

MIL -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.8	15.4	117.7	94.8	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		101.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	15.2	15.3	18.4	16.1
MIL	13.3	13.6	16.0	12.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	2	17	15.9	16.4	-0.52	14.7	12.3	2.42
Raymond Felton	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	-1	23	15.6	17.9	-2.28	13.6	14.5	-0.85
Walter Herrmann	80	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	5	11	15.6	18.5	-2.92	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Emeka Okafor	52	55	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	11	-1	15.7	16.5	-0.81	14.1	13.4	0.69
Brevin Knight	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	10	1	15.1	17.0	-1.87	14.4	13.2	1.15
Jeff McInnis	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	16	-11	17.0	14.9	2.14	13.3	14.4	-1.04
Alan Anderson	66	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	10	1	17.3	13.4	3.87	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Othella Harrington	15	15	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	16	-11	14.1	16.4	-2.37	14.9	13.6	1.35
Primoz Brezec	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	20	-19	17.7	15.8	1.93	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Ryan Hollins	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.17	5	16	-11	17.8	15.7	2.07	12.1	14.1	-2.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Reiner	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-19	17	11.5	14.2	-2.68	18.2	15.7	2.53
Damir Markota	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-16	11	9.0	14.2	-5.22	17.9	15.9	1.98
Ersan Ilyasova	41	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.19	-10	-11	1	12.7	14.6	-1.97	16.4	15.9	0.50
David Noel	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-8	-5	13.4	14.0	-0.62	17.3	15.3	1.99
Ruben Patterson	54	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-17	13	14.0	13.6	0.38	14.7	17.7	-3.07
Lynn Greer	56	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-5	-11	13.4	14.3	-0.91	16.6	15.3	1.26
Mo Williams	76	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-9	-3	14.0	13.1	0.83	15.7	17.4	-1.69
Earl Boykins	56	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-10	-1	14.6	12.7	1.97	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Charlie Bell	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-10	-1	14.5	11.8	2.69	16.5	14.9	1.58
Dan Gadzuric	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	0	-21	14.2	12.4	1.83	15.4	18.0	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
NYK 112, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%