NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	5.1 [794]		MVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): +19.7%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.9 [201]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -8.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.20	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.06	-0.02	20	66%	0.28	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	13	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	117%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Chris Copeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.01	0.03	15	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.03	0.00	20	63%	0.18	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	13	41%	0.00	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	36.0	18.8	35.4	3.5	25.6	148.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.5%

MIA -10.8%

NYK +7.8%

NYK +6.0%

MIA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.2	13.8	15.4	116.7	95.8	104.1
season	16.2	15.7		107.9	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	17.2	14.0	20.1	16.2
MIA	16.1	12.8	11.7	15.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	60	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.27	31	-11	42	17.5	14.1	3.39	14.8	12.1	2.74
Tyson Chandler	66	66	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.18	23	-3	26	15.5	17.9	-2.48	13.4	14.6	-1.16
Raymond Felton	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	1	18	15.0	20.3	-5.30	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Steve Novak	67	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	7	6	16.5	15.5	1.02	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	23	22	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	12	-4	16.0	16.3	-0.30	14.2	13.6	0.59
Pablo Prigioni	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	18	-16	19.2	15.2	3.97	14.3	13.6	0.69
Ronnie Brewer	56	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	20	-20	15.6	17.1	-1.58	13.5	14.2	-0.73
James White	34	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	20	-20	15.8	16.5	-0.67	13.5	13.9	-0.41
J.R. Smith	46	47	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.11	7	13	-6	15.8	16.7	-0.90	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Rasheed Wallace	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	21	-22	17.3	15.8	1.43	15.6	13.1	2.48
Chris Copeland	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	22.2	16.0	6.28	8.0	14.0	-6.02

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	15	17	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-25	30	14.2	13.7	0.51	16.9	16.1	0.79
James Jones	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	8.0	14.0	-6.02	22.2	16.0	6.28
Terrel Harris	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	8.0	14.0	-6.02	22.2	16.0	6.28
Joel Anthony	30	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-23	26	13.6	13.8	-0.20	14.6	16.9	-2.24
Norris Cole	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-24	28	12.7	14.3	-1.61	18.0	15.4	2.53
Mario Chalmers	33	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-18	16	13.4	14.0	-0.62	16.7	15.9	0.81
Mike Miller	52	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-7	-6	14.1	13.4	0.75	16.4	16.0	0.44
Ray Allen	68	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-5	-10	13.7	13.9	-0.12	15.8	17.2	-1.36
LeBron James	80	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-3	-14	14.0	12.8	1.15	15.4	20.1	-4.65
Chris Bosh	56	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.21	-21	1	-22	14.2	13.1	1.15	17.4	14.3	3.10
Udonis Haslem	44	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-5	-10	14.2	13.4	0.88	15.3	17.0	-1.68
Dwyane Wade	64	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.32	-33	13	-46	14.0	13.4	0.55	15.7	17.2	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 113, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CLE 82, DET 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
BOS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%