NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	5.0 [858]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (NOH): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	2.4 [134]		LVP	DeJuan Blair (SAS): -12.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.09	0.02	0.04	15	68%	0.14	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	10	57%	0.07	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
David West	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	17	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.04	0.05	11	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	19	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	57%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	10	29%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	27.3	15.5	25.5	2.4	31.5	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +56.8%

SAS -2.5%

NOH +0.3%

NOH +0.9%

SAS -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAS	NBA	NOH	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	102.1	94.7	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.9		103.6	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	12.7	14.9	15.3	17.4	15.0
SAS	15.6	15.7	13.5	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	66	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-1	11	14.6	15.9	-1.25	14.2	16.5	-2.23
Chris Paul	67	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	15.3	14.4	0.90	13.7	17.7	-4.05
Marco Belinelli	48	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	14.9	15.2	-0.33	13.9	16.0	-2.11
David West	56	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	-2	13	14.7	15.5	-0.85	13.4	17.0	-3.54
Marcus Thornton	58	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	5	-1	15.5	14.3	1.24	16.2	13.1	3.08
Jason Smith	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	3	3	14.6	15.3	-0.63	17.3	13.4	3.95
Willie Green	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	8	-7	15.3	14.8	0.46	16.2	13.9	2.29
Emeka Okafor	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	11	-13	16.1	14.3	1.85	13.2	16.2	-3.05
DJ Mbenga	32	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	6	-3	12.8	16.1	-3.30	16.2	14.4	1.74
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	16	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	4	1	17.1	14.6	2.45	17.1	14.5	2.63
Jerryd Bayless	20	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	16	-23	15.3	14.9	0.35	17.1	14.4	2.78

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	20	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-5	1	17.9	14.2	3.70	13.8	15.3	-1.53
Tim Duncan	57	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-6	3	14.3	15.9	-1.61	14.4	15.9	-1.51
George Hill	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-12	15	16.2	13.7	2.53	16.3	13.7	2.52
Gary Neal	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-10	11	15.3	14.8	0.44	15.6	14.6	1.02
Tony Parker	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	2	-13	14.6	15.5	-0.82	13.9	16.6	-2.77
Antonio McDyess	42	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	9	-27	17.5	13.0	4.48	13.0	16.4	-3.40
Manu Ginobili	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-5	1	14.4	17.1	-2.72	15.5	13.3	2.21
Richard Jefferson	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-6	3	14.0	17.4	-3.42	15.6	13.6	2.04
DeJuan Blair	76	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-3	-3	14.1	18.4	-4.30	15.5	12.5	3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 106, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
LAL 103, NOH 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
PHI 77, NOH 62	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%