NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	4.5 [923]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOH): +16.8%
New Orleans Hornets	87		Comeback	2.2 [683]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -18.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	17	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.11	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03
Darius Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	41%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	6	69%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.22	0.03	0.08	21	70%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	9	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	6	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Darius Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	8%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	23%	-0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	19	40%	-0.13	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.4	29.4	16.4	25.5	2.3	24.7	121.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.1%

LAL +5.8%

NOH -7.2%

LAL +2.2%

LAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.4	115.7	96.7	104.1
season	14.9	16.3		106.0	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		108.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	14.2	14.2	18.4	15.8
NOH	17.9	15.2	17.7	15.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	1	14	15.2	17.2	-2.01	16.8	15.4	1.46
Metta World Peace	65	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.09	18	-2	20	16.0	15.0	0.97	16.7	15.6	1.09
Antawn Jamison	49	50	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	1	14	15.2	16.5	-1.31	17.4	15.2	2.20
Dwight Howard	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	4	8	15.5	16.3	-0.78	17.3	14.5	2.81
Chris Duhon	61	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	7	2	15.7	15.9	-0.20	17.2	14.8	2.45
Darius Morris	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	9	-2	15.9	15.7	0.20	14.8	17.2	-2.45
Devin Ebanks	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	11	-6	15.6	15.8	-0.24	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Jordan Hill	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	9	-2	16.4	15.4	1.02	15.0	17.2	-2.26
Jodie Meeks	46	47	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	15	-14	15.6	15.9	-0.34	15.6	17.3	-1.69
Robert Sacre	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	24.7	15.4	9.22	13.7	16.5	-2.85
Earl Clark	15	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	23	-30	17.5	15.4	2.14	15.6	16.6	-0.97

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.7	16.5	-2.85	24.7	15.4	9.22
Brian Roberts	22	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-9	2	15.1	16.8	-1.70	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Xavier Henry	37	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-8	0	15.5	17.0	-1.50	16.1	15.5	0.56
Lance Thomas	28	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-8	0	15.1	17.0	-1.91	14.8	16.1	-1.33
Roger Mason Jr.	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-10	4	18.1	15.0	3.12	16.2	15.3	0.87
Robin Lopez	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-10	4	17.8	14.9	2.92	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Austin Rivers	43	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-8	0	15.3	17.4	-2.06	14.7	16.6	-1.94
Ryan Anderson	62	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-12	8	16.8	15.6	1.24	16.8	13.2	3.61
Jason Smith	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-3	-10	14.6	17.6	-3.06	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Greivis Vasquez	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-7	-2	16.8	15.1	1.70	16.1	14.8	1.30
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-3	-10	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.6	16.2	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CLE 128, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
GSW 116, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%