inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 116 Excitement4.1 [988] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +23.5%
Utah Jazz 105 Comeback2.1 [845] LVPDante Exum (UTA): -7.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.180.05-0.011677%0.292-0.053100%0.01
Draymond Green0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.030.00983%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.030.01875%0.1100.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00875%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Bogut0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.00582%0.072-0.021100%0.01
David Lee0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01856%0.0300.002100%0.00
Justin Holiday0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031041%0.0200.002100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.10-0.00-0.091328%0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Andre Iguodala-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.021045%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.12-0.000.061663%0.0600.00367%-0.01
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01775%0.084-0.052100%0.01
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.061350%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.00955%0.021-0.001173%-0.00
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Elijah Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.04558%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01275%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.020.031161%0.042-0.056100%0.02
Trey Burke0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.001454%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.426.415.325.32.427.8124.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +54.0%
UTA -2.3%
UTA -5.6%
GSW +4.2%
UTA -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWUTANBAGSWUTANBA
this game13.316.715.1120.8109.4104.2
season13.616.2109.2103.8
opponent15.315.5103.799.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.513.312.415.013.3
UTA16.818.816.415.016.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes45440.51-0.010.520.0715-41912.913.6-0.7117.815.72.05
Draymond Green48470.470.030.43-0.0016-52112.514.1-1.6217.615.81.86
Stephen Curry59580.460.040.42-0.0417-62313.013.8-0.8117.016.20.79
Klay Thompson53520.420.080.340.0712-11313.213.4-0.2317.715.52.23
Andrew Bogut49510.280.220.05-0.02101913.912.71.1117.715.62.09
Marreese Speights47450.220.28-0.050.19110-912.713.9-1.1115.617.7-2.09
Justin Holiday33330.070.43-0.370.21-516-2113.813.10.6815.817.2-1.37
Leandro Barbosa47490.050.45-0.390.11-213-1513.513.10.3915.817.6-1.74
David Lee48490.030.47-0.430.18-516-2114.112.51.6215.817.6-1.86
Andre Iguodala5152-0.010.51-0.520.11-415-1913.612.90.7115.717.8-2.05

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Elliot Williams66-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-151911.217.1-5.8914.213.30.91
Jeremy Evans66-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-151911.217.1-5.8914.213.30.91
Rudy Gobert6564-0.01-0.490.48-0.186-172315.818.5-2.7513.912.21.73
Elijah Millsap4442-0.06-0.440.370.08-5-6117.016.40.6613.613.10.54
Ian Clark2223-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-6115.517.0-1.4813.513.20.28
Dante Exum4744-0.17-0.330.17-0.170-111117.016.40.6112.713.8-1.08
Trey Burke5557-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.20-3-8517.315.81.5414.012.41.61
Derrick Favors5757-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-6117.615.32.3713.612.90.61
Joe Ingles5052-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-4-316.317.2-0.8913.213.5-0.26
Gordon Hayward6464-0.550.05-0.60-0.05-176-2316.916.30.6112.914.2-1.31
Enes Kanter6465-0.700.20-0.900.09-2716-4317.215.61.6912.415.1-2.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 94, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
TOR 102, CLE 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,094.8%
LAL 103, NOH 870.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%