NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	4.3 [947]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +11.3%
Miami Heat	79		Comeback	2.0 [263]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -12.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	-0.00	-0.07	19	56%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.03	13	56%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Keith McLeod	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	21	46%	0.01	6	-0.13	8	87%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	18	48%	-0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	21	41%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	14	32%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.3	16.4	27.9	2.8	33.4	136.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +56.9%

MIN +7.1%

MIA -2.6%

MIA -11.3%

MIA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIA	NBA	MIN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.7	98.9	88.8	100.5
season	15.6	16.2		103.2	99.3
opponent	15.9	16.1		98.8	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	18.7	13.3	19.1	16.6
MIA	16.4	15.6	18.9	12.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	47	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-4	17	18.3	14.7	3.67	16.8	14.5	2.35
Mark Madsen	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	15.2	18.6	-3.37	16.6	14.5	2.15
Sam Cassell	76	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	16.2	18.8	-2.62	15.1	19.3	-4.19
Kevin Garnett	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	8	-7	15.8	19.8	-4.04	16.1	14.3	1.83
Latrell Sprewell	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	5	-1	17.2	14.4	2.85	15.4	16.9	-1.45
Trenton Hassell	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	1	7	18.0	15.3	2.74	15.6	15.9	-0.24
Keith McLeod	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	18.8	16.2	2.62	19.3	15.1	4.19
Fred Hoiberg	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	9	-9	16.5	16.7	-0.19	14.0	16.7	-2.64
Ervin Johnson	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	7	-5	17.6	16.3	1.35	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Michael Olowokandi	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	11	-13	13.3	17.7	-4.43	15.1	16.0	-0.88

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	4	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-11	13	12.2	15.9	-3.67	21.0	16.5	4.55
Lamar Odom	52	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-13	17	15.5	16.2	-0.70	16.9	16.2	0.72
Loren Woods	20	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	2	-13	17.0	15.4	1.61	19.1	16.0	3.07
Rafer Alston	20	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	2	-13	17.3	15.3	2.00	18.4	16.2	2.23
Brian Grant	65	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-9	9	15.6	16.2	-0.62	15.8	19.3	-3.57
Udonis Haslem	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-7	5	15.3	17.6	-2.26	16.4	17.5	-1.07
Eddie Jones	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-8	7	15.7	16.5	-0.84	16.1	21.0	-4.89
Dwyane Wade	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	15.5	18.1	-2.64	16.7	15.8	0.92
Caron Butler	55	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.02	-20	11	-31	16.6	14.4	2.27	16.6	16.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 104, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	96.5%
CHI 89, ATL 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAL 130, NOP 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%