inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 107 Excitement3.7 [508] MVPDuncan Robinson (MIA): +17.0%
Miami Heat 128 Comeback3.3 [264] LVPVictor Wembanyama (SAS): -12.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.000.052053%0.031-0.013100%0.01
Keldon Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.01944%0.0100.0000%0.00
Zach Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00267%0.001-0.00250%-0.00
Sidy Cissoko0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malaki Branham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Blake Wesley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Charles Bassey-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Julian Champagnie-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.05831%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tre Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01462%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.000.04950%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Chris Paul-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.010.09677%-0.0200.001100%-0.00
Stephon Castle-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.03861%0.024-0.082100%0.00
Victor Wembanyama-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.01-0.060.061850%-0.063-0.06633%-0.06

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.180.030.041287%0.181-0.0100%0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.020.051269%0.1000.002100%0.01
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.12-0.010.061960%0.0500.004100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06786%0.0310.0000%0.00
Josh Christopher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keshad Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.09-0.000.10887%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02750%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.09-0.000.101467%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.01-0.01933%-0.043-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.523.714.827.91.826.0119.1
league avg25.72.328.114.928.42.332.2134.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +29.8%
MIA +5.5%
MIA +9.7%
MIA +5.5%
SAS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMIANBASASMIANBA
this game13.814.814.4107.0126.7112.2
season14.414.8111.2111.7
opponent14.514.4110.8112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS12.016.313.313.913.8
MIA17.513.213.415.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sidy Cissoko670.00-0.500.50-0.062-23257.714.2-6.5612.315.0-2.72
Malaki Branham670.00-0.500.50-0.062-23257.714.2-6.5612.315.0-2.72
Blake Wesley670.00-0.500.50-0.062-23257.714.2-6.5612.315.0-2.72
Sandro Mamukelashvili1920-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-252914.113.80.2714.314.9-0.59
Zach Collins1717-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-201910.214.6-4.4013.715.0-1.34
Charles Bassey2222-0.03-0.470.430.14-6-15915.013.51.5011.215.8-4.60
Julian Champagnie4747-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-14714.113.50.6014.015.5-1.50
Tre Jones3534-0.19-0.310.120.25-15-6-914.213.60.6113.315.6-2.26
Keldon Johnson3939-0.22-0.280.070.22-15-6-914.513.41.1612.616.2-3.64
Stephon Castle5858-0.23-0.270.050.15-13-8-513.813.8-0.0115.014.60.34
Chris Paul5455-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.08-8-13514.612.91.6616.412.93.55
Devin Vassell7271-0.45-0.05-0.400.31-265-3113.614.3-0.6815.313.71.55
Victor Wembanyama5859-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-10-11114.213.30.9416.712.24.42
Harrison Barnes6162-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-14-7-714.412.91.5316.412.34.10

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kel'el Ware68690.59-0.090.69-0.2027-63314.016.5-2.5615.310.64.62
Bam Adebayo53510.50-0.000.51-0.051921715.913.62.2813.414.3-0.89
Jimmy Butler56570.450.050.40-0.111921715.713.81.9213.913.70.27
Duncan Robinson56570.450.050.40-0.111921715.713.81.9213.913.70.27
Terry Rozier67650.360.140.21-0.141741314.116.3-2.1814.013.60.40
Tyler Herro70690.240.26-0.03-0.061011-115.114.30.7713.913.60.31
Nikola Jovic50510.050.45-0.39-0.18813-513.915.7-1.8314.613.01.55
Jaime Jaquez Jr.47460.010.49-0.480.01021-2113.915.7-1.8214.013.70.31
Josh Christopher760.000.50-0.500.06-223-2512.315.0-2.727.714.2-6.56
Pelle Larsson760.000.50-0.500.06-223-2512.315.0-2.727.714.2-6.56
Keshad Johnson760.000.50-0.500.06-223-2512.315.0-2.727.714.2-6.56
Haywood Highsmith1717-0.150.65-0.800.08-829-3719.613.95.7311.414.3-2.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 88, DAL 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
TOR 95, SAS 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
CLE 85, MIA 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%