inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 85 Excitement3.2 [1124] MVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): +6.9%
Miami Heat 111 Comeback2.0 [934] LVPAndrew DeClercq (CLE): -7.2%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Person0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.09-0.000.021070%0.0700.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.04550%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Mark Bryant0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00557%0.0100.00450%-0.02
Lari Ketner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.022100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bob Sura-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04640%-0.011-0.0030%-0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02767%0.053-0.0610%-0.01
Earl Boykins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00760%0.002-0.02683%0.01
Cedric Henderson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.160.00-0.13528%-0.013-0.02862%-0.00
Lamond Murray-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.021045%-0.023-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01856%0.034-0.092100%0.01
Andrew DeClercq-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.02615%-0.051-0.0210%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.00683%0.112-0.04683%0.01
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.021265%0.081-0.022100%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00786%0.053-0.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02952%0.021-0.003100%0.01
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.010.03774%0.051-0.035100%0.01
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02450%0.0110.0000%0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.02558%0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Rodney Buford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harold Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.0830%0.0000.0020%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03667%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.02437%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.021545%0.022-0.031100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.030.815.624.62.529.3131.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +18.5%
MIA +7.6%
MIA +7.2%
MIA +14.4%
MIA +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game15.215.315.290.4116.8101.7
season14.115.798.0101.2
opponent15.915.398.2101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE12.915.418.514.415.2
MIA15.414.615.815.615.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq34330.02-0.520.540.020-262614.215.7-1.4916.714.62.07
Earl Boykins4342-0.03-0.470.440.18-7-191215.914.51.4217.113.93.19
Cedric Henderson3938-0.04-0.460.430.05-3-232015.614.90.6916.914.32.63
Danny Ferry3432-0.04-0.460.430.08-4-221815.415.00.3516.314.81.46
Lari Ketner3031-0.04-0.460.420.11-5-211615.714.90.7916.015.01.06
Bob Sura4040-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-191215.415.00.4615.615.10.45
Wesley Person5455-0.37-0.13-0.230.19-19-7-1215.015.4-0.4615.115.6-0.45
Shawn Kemp4648-0.46-0.04-0.420.21-23-3-2016.014.41.6014.216.4-2.20
Andre Miller5254-0.46-0.04-0.430.09-19-7-1214.316.2-1.9514.017.1-3.13
Lamond Murray5557-0.46-0.04-0.430.21-23-3-2014.915.6-0.6914.316.9-2.63
Mark Bryant4345-0.49-0.01-0.480.10-20-6-1414.815.5-0.7214.316.3-1.99

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn61580.51-0.010.53-0.162332014.816.2-1.4316.313.33.05
Alonzo Mourning53510.480.020.46-0.142151614.616.2-1.6515.614.70.94
P.J. Brown42400.470.030.44-0.142151614.516.0-1.5016.214.41.90
Dan Majerle60590.430.070.37-0.121971214.416.9-2.4414.516.2-1.66
Tim Hardaway53500.410.090.33-0.031511414.716.1-1.4814.116.4-2.26
Anthony Carter43450.090.41-0.33-0.241115-416.214.61.5516.114.31.74
Bruce Bowen43440.040.46-0.41-0.16719-1216.714.22.5714.615.6-0.98
Clar. Weatherspoon38390.030.47-0.44-0.09422-1816.414.61.8013.916.0-2.11
Otis Thorpe26280.020.48-0.46-0.10422-1817.014.72.2715.015.2-0.28
Mark Strickland26270.010.49-0.48-0.08323-2016.315.01.3114.915.3-0.43
Rodney Buford15140.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2414.915.4-0.4514.915.2-0.36
Harold Jamison15150.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2414.915.4-0.4515.515.10.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 109, TOR 1210.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.64,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
SAC 86, MIA 1070.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHA 84, LAC 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%