inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Excitement4.1 [1023] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +6.7%
Dallas Mavericks 112 Comeback3.2 [724] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -14.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.00-0.05275%0.0420.004100%0.02
Earl Watson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.001256%0.052-0.041100%0.00
Dahntay Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.051544%-0.012-0.02667%-0.00
Brian Cardinal-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02543%-0.0400.004100%0.01
James Posey-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02542%-0.002-0.05250%-0.00
Mike Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021048%-0.003-0.051100%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.03928%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jason Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01325%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Pau Gasol-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.07-0.050.031453%-0.044-0.10667%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.000.011959%0.091-0.031100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.10-0.000.09975%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03765%0.043-0.03650%-0.01
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.04637%0.0100.004100%0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03870%0.085-0.074100%0.02
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02167%0.0010.004100%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.031100%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.001556%0.033-0.09967%-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.15-0.00-0.03643%-0.034-0.091173%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.81.830.816.729.31.831.0137.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +33.5%
DAL +6.8%
DAL +14.8%
MEM -4.1%
MEM -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDALNBAMEMDALNBA
this game16.813.015.590.7116.7104.0
season16.414.9103.7108.2
opponent15.515.5103.4101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.317.617.915.516.8
DAL15.011.210.915.213.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dahntay Jones9100.00-0.500.500.09-3-211811.917.4-5.4612.913.0-0.09
Brian Cardinal3537-0.04-0.460.430.11-5-191417.116.70.4213.912.41.53
Earl Watson5657-0.07-0.430.360.22-10-14416.617.2-0.6114.211.22.94
Stromile Swift5050-0.12-0.380.260.05-6-181215.018.8-3.8111.614.5-2.92
Shane Battier5152-0.14-0.360.220.09-8-16814.919.0-4.1411.514.7-3.19
Mike Miller5555-0.21-0.290.070.17-13-11-215.518.6-3.1711.714.7-2.97
Bonzi Wells4241-0.29-0.21-0.070.04-11-13218.615.53.1714.711.72.97
James Posey4644-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-8-819.014.94.1414.711.53.19
Lorenzen Wright4644-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-8-819.014.94.1414.711.53.19
Jason Williams4139-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-14-10-417.216.60.6111.214.2-2.94
Pau Gasol5451-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-18-6-1217.416.21.1412.213.9-1.67

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki60620.63-0.130.76-0.2831-73811.715.1-3.3218.114.53.60
Michael Finley65670.56-0.060.62-0.1725-12612.913.1-0.1718.213.94.31
Josh Howard64640.370.130.24-0.07159612.913.2-0.3616.617.3-0.74
Devin Harris54560.350.150.21-0.031311211.015.5-4.4816.517.4-0.90
Erick Dampier55590.230.27-0.03-0.03915-613.312.50.8618.214.73.47
Alan Henderson37350.220.28-0.05-0.101113-212.013.6-1.5916.217.2-1.05
Jason Terry47450.160.34-0.17-0.221311215.310.74.6316.816.8-0.00
Marquis Daniels27280.150.35-0.20-0.05717-1013.212.90.2916.916.80.07
DJ Mbenga660.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2210.513.1-2.6411.717.2-5.52
Shawn Bradley1090.000.50-0.50-0.03123-2212.913.0-0.0911.917.4-5.46
Jerry Stackhouse5554-0.190.69-0.88-0.01-630-3614.910.44.5614.719.5-4.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 102, MIN 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
MEM 87, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
TOR 95, SAS 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%