NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	4.5 [908]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +6.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	2.8 [916]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -8.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	5	88%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.05	9	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	19	52%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Solomon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	55%	-0.01	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	48%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	14	63%	0.07	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.02	23	52%	0.06	4	-0.06	12	67%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	30.2	15.6	30.5	2.5	29.4	133.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.3%

MIN +14.5%

MIN +5.2%

MIN +7.5%

MEM -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	12.6	15.6	98.1	106.7	102.3
season	15.7	15.0		96.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		103.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.6	16.2	16.2	14.6	15.1
MIN	12.1	12.0	11.1	15.4	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	40	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-8	7	15.0	15.2	-0.16	13.6	12.0	1.59
Grant Long	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-8	7	17.9	14.9	3.03	13.2	12.5	0.70
Pau Gasol	53	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-17	25	14.3	16.0	-1.64	12.9	12.2	0.77
Will Solomon	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-10	11	16.4	14.8	1.59	14.8	12.0	2.83
Tony Massenburg	26	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-6	3	15.5	15.0	0.55	12.4	12.6	-0.24
Lorenzen Wright	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	15.0	15.5	-0.55	12.6	12.4	0.24
Jason Williams	85	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	1	-11	14.8	16.4	-1.59	12.0	14.8	-2.83
Michael Dickerson	81	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	0	-9	14.9	15.9	-0.96	12.2	13.8	-1.59
Stromile Swift	51	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	8	-25	16.0	14.3	1.64	12.2	12.9	-0.77
Shane Battier	78	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	-2	-5	15.1	15.3	-0.19	12.4	13.2	-0.83

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	86	86	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.02	21	-12	33	11.9	15.8	-3.95	15.8	11.8	4.05
Terrell Brandon	71	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	11.7	14.5	-2.85	15.1	15.1	0.05
Wally Szczerbiak	91	92	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-2	13	12.4	13.8	-1.46	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Joe Smith	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	1	7	11.5	14.0	-2.53	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Anthony Peeler	61	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	2	5	13.0	11.9	1.09	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Rasho Nesterovic	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	2	5	10.5	13.7	-3.23	15.5	14.9	0.56
Loren Woods	50	51	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	10	-11	14.2	11.0	3.22	15.2	15.0	0.18
Felipe Lopez	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	14	-19	18.3	12.4	5.94	8.0	15.3	-7.34
Chauncey Billups	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	10	-11	14.5	11.7	2.85	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Sam Mitchell	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	14	-19	16.2	12.2	4.00	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Gary Trent	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	16	-23	15.3	11.9	3.45	13.7	15.5	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
UTA 77, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 88, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%