inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 77 Excitement3.8 [1015] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +20.2%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback2.6 [544] LVPDonyell Marshall (UTA): -15.7%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Manning0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01571%0.0500.004100%0.02
David Benoit0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.00-0.01-0.041150%0.0310.002100%0.00
Bryon Russell0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.03743%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
John Crotty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Starks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Karl Malone-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.012054%0.032-0.05683%0.02
Olden Polynice-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00550%-0.0300.00667%-0.01
Greg Ostertag-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.07320%-0.042-0.0040%-0.03
John Stockton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.00725%-0.0700.0020%-0.04
Donyell Marshall-0.160,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.021429%-0.072-0.0900%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.180.030.011970%0.2000.00989%0.03
Steve Nash0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.03-0.011573%0.174-0.067100%0.03
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00460%0.0200.002100%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.100.000.081369%0.041-0.023100%0.02
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vernon Maxwell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03387%0.0010.002100%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00250%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.02425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.011127%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game318.02.628.320.431.23.728.5432.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +31.1%
DAL +18.6%
DAL +2.1%
DAL +5.2%
UTA -6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game17.415.615.588.5121.6100.9
season16.015.2105.3104.6
opponent15.315.5101.2100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.619.517.214.817.4
DAL15.913.812.820.115.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson1414-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-262213.918.0-4.1721.314.56.80
John Crotty1414-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-262213.918.0-4.1721.314.56.80
Greg Ostertag2929-0.05-0.450.410.34-13-17416.417.8-1.3617.914.43.47
Danny Manning3335-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-231616.617.8-1.1618.113.94.23
John Starks1213-0.11-0.390.270.38-17-13-414.417.8-3.4115.515.6-0.03
Jacque Vaughn1717-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-231616.517.6-1.1012.516.3-3.77
David Benoit4039-0.14-0.360.210.21-12-18616.717.9-1.2616.115.20.87
Olden Polynice4038-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-8-221417.817.00.8714.016.8-2.81
John Stockton5657-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-11-818.515.33.2115.116.5-1.41
Karl Malone6164-0.42-0.08-0.330.17-20-10-1018.315.23.0914.917.2-2.31
Bryon Russell6970-0.42-0.08-0.350.16-20-10-1018.313.84.4414.021.6-7.53
Donyell Marshall5050-0.49-0.01-0.490.06-19-11-817.816.71.0914.616.8-2.15

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard75750.500.000.50-0.352912814.521.8-7.3717.913.74.28
Michael Finley77770.500.000.50-0.4131-13214.622.2-7.5618.111.86.28
Dirk Nowitzki66660.480.020.46-0.051812614.319.2-4.8818.414.24.17
Steve Nash72710.460.040.43-0.332732414.221.9-7.7818.014.73.27
Shawn Bradley50510.230.27-0.050.08525-2013.917.7-3.7718.415.92.46
Calvin Booth23230.220.28-0.07-0.432281416.415.31.1717.017.5-0.48
Howard Eisley30290.110.39-0.27-0.361614218.813.94.9515.618.2-2.60
Eduardo Najera13120.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2821.814.57.3713.717.9-4.28
Vernon Maxwell11100.000.50-0.500.03-131-3222.214.67.5611.818.1-6.28
Mark Bryant13120.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2821.814.57.3713.717.9-4.28
Wang Zhi-zhi1090.000.50-0.50-0.03129-2822.014.77.2610.918.1-7.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 102, MIN 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
MEM 87, SAS 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
POR 106, PHX 1200.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%