NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	6.3 [582]		MVP	Adem Bona (PHI): +13.1%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.7 [979]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -10.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adem Bona	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	5	92%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.02	23	54%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Pete Nance	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	18	45%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Justin Edwards	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	12	55%	0.11	0	0.00	14	64%	-0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	86%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.08	7	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RayJ Dennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	11	41%	-0.01	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	57%	0.03	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.7	31.0	14.8	29.6	3.5	32.5	139.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.9%

IND +1.0%

IND +18.6%

PHI -15.7%

IND +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	14.4	105.2	118.6	113.0
season	15.0	13.9		110.4	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.8	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	14.1	17.5	14.7	15.5
IND	14.7	12.1	14.6	16.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Nance	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-13	13	13.3	15.8	-2.53	19.2	13.5	5.68
Adem Bona	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-9	5	16.6	14.8	1.84	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Eric Gordon	63	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-12	11	14.3	17.5	-3.15	14.3	14.1	0.14
Ricky Council IV	72	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-11	9	16.0	13.8	2.28	14.5	13.6	0.86
Tyrese Maxey	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-7	1	16.0	13.5	2.46	14.3	13.9	0.48
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-7	1	14.4	16.3	-1.82	15.4	13.3	2.10
Justin Edwards	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	0	-13	15.9	15.0	0.89	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Andre Drummond	56	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	15.5	15.4	0.11	13.4	15.4	-2.08
Kelly Oubre Jr.	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	5	-23	15.4	15.8	-0.38	13.7	16.5	-2.78

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Sheppard	43	43	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-4	21	14.2	14.3	-0.05	14.9	15.9	-0.98
Pascal Siakam	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-1	15	13.9	15.2	-1.25	14.9	16.8	-1.90
T.J. McConnell	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	1	11	13.7	14.5	-0.86	14.4	16.0	-1.56
Myles Turner	52	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	14.2	14.3	-0.06	17.0	13.5	3.49
Jarace Walker	17	17	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	1	11	13.9	14.3	-0.43	16.6	15.2	1.38
Aaron Nesmith	20	21	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	2	9	13.3	14.5	-1.12	17.9	14.8	3.07
Andrew Nembhard	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	10	-7	14.2	14.3	-0.11	15.6	15.3	0.33
Thomas Bryant	45	42	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	10	-7	14.3	14.2	0.06	13.5	17.0	-3.49
Tyrese Haliburton	64	64	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.15	-3	16	-19	14.5	13.7	0.86	16.2	14.1	2.11
Obi Toppin	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	16	-19	14.5	14.2	0.29	17.5	14.8	2.72
Johnny Furphy	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	23.5	14.0	9.46	9.0	15.6	-6.59
RayJ Dennis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	23.5	14.0	9.46	9.0	15.6	-6.59
Bennedict Mathurin	53	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.22	-15	28	-43	14.4	14.0	0.39	14.4	16.6	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.9%
GSW 99, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
PHX 115, ATL 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.2%