NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	6.2 [584]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +22.3%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.4 [903]		LVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): -19.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	9	82%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	16	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	6	12%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.19	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	22	30%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	7	74%	0.22	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	12	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	41%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	17	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	28.9	17.8	25.8	2.8	31.3	134.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.8%

UTA +9.1%

HOU -17.0%

UTA +18.4%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	87.8	101.0	106.4
season	16.3	15.3		105.9	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.4	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	17.2	14.8	12.5	14.8
UTA	14.3	14.8	13.5	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	5.5	15.2	-9.70	23.7	14.3	9.37
James White	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	5.5	15.2	-9.70	23.7	14.3	9.37
Aaron Brooks	62	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-14	15	14.4	15.6	-1.18	15.3	13.3	1.93
Brent Barry	21	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.24	17.0	13.9	3.06
Charles Hayes	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-5	-3	15.8	14.5	1.36	12.7	15.2	-2.43
Shane Battier	77	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-8	3	15.2	13.2	2.00	14.9	13.5	1.36
Yao Ming	77	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	15.1	13.7	1.39	14.6	14.6	0.01
Metta World Peace	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	15.4	12.6	2.71	14.0	17.1	-3.13
Luis Scola	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-7	1	15.0	14.2	0.81	14.4	15.3	-0.96
Von Wafer	27	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	0	-13	14.0	15.1	-1.11	12.7	15.2	-2.52
Kyle Lowry	40	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	14.5	15.0	-0.43	14.2	14.8	-0.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	55	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	14.4	14.8	-0.33	15.1	14.4	0.67
Carlos Boozer	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	4	5	14.7	14.4	0.28	15.1	14.1	0.99
Paul Millsap	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	1	11	14.5	14.7	-0.12	15.1	14.4	0.66
Brevin Knight	26	25	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	6	1	12.8	15.2	-2.41	14.9	14.8	0.10
Deron Williams	72	73	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	7	-1	15.2	12.8	2.41	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Mehmet Okur	74	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	8	-3	14.5	14.7	-0.17	14.3	16.3	-1.98
CJ Miles	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	10	-7	15.0	14.3	0.67	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	7	-1	15.3	13.9	1.47	14.7	14.9	-0.27
Ronnie Brewer	56	55	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	12	-11	13.8	15.6	-1.82	14.6	15.0	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
IND 105, PHX 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1	93.4%
DET 103, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.94,1,1	93.2%