NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	6.0 [638]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +28.5%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	1.5 [426]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (PHX): -8.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	92%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	56%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	9	72%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	17	63%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	27	52%	0.08	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Jalen Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29	0.29	0.26	0.09	0.06	25	75%	0.37	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	13	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	15	63%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	8	69%	0.11	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	25.1	16.4	28.3	3.0	34.2	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.1%

PHX -2.7%

ATL +5.7%

PHX -0.2%

ATL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	14.5	111.7	120.4	110.8
season	14.2	14.6		114.0	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.7		113.2	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	12.7	13.7	11.0	12.9
ATL	14.9	13.5	15.1	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	52	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-9	9	13.3	12.5	0.74	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Ish Wainright	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-5	1	15.2	12.6	2.64	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Jalen Smith	8	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-4	-1	13.1	12.9	0.22	14.0	15.1	-1.13
Jae Crowder	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-10	11	12.4	14.1	-1.65	15.3	14.4	0.89
Mikal Bridges	85	85	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-12	15	12.7	13.9	-1.17	15.3	13.9	1.33
Elfrid Payton	21	21	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-1	-7	14.2	12.6	1.65	14.0	15.3	-1.25
Chris Paul	84	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-5	1	12.6	14.5	-1.90	15.2	14.4	0.76
Devin Booker	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	12.9	13.1	-0.28	15.3	14.0	1.25
JaVale McGee	35	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	3	-15	13.6	12.6	1.07	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Cameron Johnson	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	1	-11	12.7	13.3	-0.62	15.1	15.0	0.10

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-5	19	14.9	15.5	-0.67	13.0	12.8	0.15
Danilo Gallinari	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	-1	11	15.5	14.6	0.82	12.5	13.3	-0.86
Delon Wright	36	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	2	5	14.8	15.1	-0.32	13.3	12.7	0.60
Onyeka Okongwu	33	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	1	7	15.0	15.1	-0.06	13.5	12.7	0.79
Trae Young	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	6	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.30	12.7	13.6	-0.93
Kevin Huerter	80	78	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	10	-11	15.4	13.7	1.79	12.6	13.8	-1.21
John Collins	64	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	5	-1	15.5	14.3	1.18	13.3	12.2	1.11
Clint Capela	52	52	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	8	-7	14.8	15.3	-0.47	13.3	12.5	0.86
De'Andre Hunter	47	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	10	-11	14.1	15.8	-1.64	12.5	13.3	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
BOS 104, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.4%