NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	105		Excitement	5.1 [805]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +22.7%
Denver Nuggets	124		Comeback	1.8 [1158]		LVP	Jalen Wilson (BKN): -12.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reece Beekman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	2	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Keon Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	21	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tosan Evbuomwan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	14	61%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Simmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.06	0.04	21	70%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.03	16	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.02	0.07	17	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.03
Hunter Tyson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.4	31.1	0.3	32.3	0.7	28.5	125.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +24.5%

DEN +10.1%

DEN +8.8%

DEN +6.6%

DEN +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DEN	NBA	BKN	DEN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.7	14.4	102.9	121.6	113.0
season	15.3	14.2		107.6	117.1
opponent	14.5	14.4		114.6	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.5	15.3	15.1	14.2	14.5
DEN	13.7	11.9	14.3	15.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Beekman	25	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.24	11	-30	41	13.4	14.9	-1.43	17.0	12.7	4.35
Tosan Evbuomwan	45	44	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-27	35	14.6	14.5	0.14	15.0	12.7	2.30
Day'Ron Sharpe	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-19	19	14.6	14.5	0.07	14.6	13.1	1.45
Tyrese Martin	67	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-16	13	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.0	13.2	0.81
Ben Simmons	50	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-2	-15	14.8	14.2	0.63	12.8	14.6	-1.78
Keon Johnson	75	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-10	1	14.3	15.1	-0.80	14.3	12.1	2.13
Jalen Wilson	37	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-1	-17	15.4	14.0	1.39	12.1	14.7	-2.61
Ziaire Williams	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	-3	-13	14.1	14.9	-0.80	13.2	14.2	-0.95
Noah Clowney	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.27	-25	6	-31	14.4	14.8	-0.41	12.9	15.2	-2.33
Nic Claxton	56	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.25	-26	7	-33	15.0	14.0	1.03	12.9	14.8	-1.90

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	82	82	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.28	33	-14	47	12.9	17.0	-4.09	15.2	11.5	3.69
Russell Westbrook	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-2	23	13.6	14.1	-0.48	14.5	14.5	0.05
Julian Strawther	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	5	9	14.1	13.1	1.06	15.3	13.2	2.17
Christian Braun	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	1	17	13.9	13.4	0.47	15.1	13.7	1.38
Michael Porter Jr.	75	74	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	0	19	14.3	12.2	2.08	13.9	16.2	-2.39
Peyton Watson	74	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	11	-3	13.4	14.5	-1.13	14.3	15.2	-0.96
Jalen Pickett	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	20	-21	12.6	14.0	-1.39	16.0	14.2	1.84
Jamal Murray	36	37	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	19	-19	13.3	14.0	-0.68	13.3	15.2	-1.92
Hunter Tyson	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	22	-25	11.0	13.8	-2.80	12.5	14.6	-2.06
DeAndre Jordan	20	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.23	-14	33	-47	17.0	12.9	4.09	11.5	15.2	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.89,0.84,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, BOS 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
IND 96, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.91,0.9,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 93, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.9%