NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	5.2 [751]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +14.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.8 [1075]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -12.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	53%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	24	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	35%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.03	0.07	19	62%	0.12	5	-0.11	10	90%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	69%	0.08	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	-0.06	6	29%	0.01	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	30.4	16.4	26.4	2.3	29.7	133.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.4%

LAL +12.4%

LAL +8.6%

MIN -5.3%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	13.8	15.4	95.9	111.5	105.7
season	15.9	14.6		102.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.1	16.0	16.1	15.9	16.0
LAL	10.0	15.3	15.2	15.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-16	18	16.0	16.0	-0.04	15.4	13.3	2.10
Corey Brewer	14	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-12	10	15.3	16.2	-0.87	14.8	13.6	1.21
Gerald Green	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-14	14	16.2	16.0	0.25	16.5	13.2	3.32
Chris Richard	4	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-11	8	11.2	16.2	-4.99	11.7	13.9	-2.20
Theo Ratliff	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-10	6	17.2	15.0	2.14	14.7	13.0	1.72
Sebastian Telfair	53	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-7	0	15.8	16.3	-0.48	14.3	13.2	1.10
Craig Smith	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-9	4	15.4	16.4	-0.96	11.7	15.1	-3.46
Marko Jaric	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	16.0	16.2	-0.26	12.9	15.9	-3.00
Al Jefferson	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	0	-14	16.1	15.9	0.15	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Greg Buckner	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.3	15.4	0.90	14.3	12.4	1.85
Ryan Gomes	78	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	2	-18	16.0	16.3	-0.35	13.2	16.4	-3.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.06	22	-8	30	13.9	13.6	0.23	15.6	17.4	-1.72
Derek Fisher	60	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-4	22	13.5	14.3	-0.81	16.3	15.6	0.74
Kobe Bryant	81	81	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	5	4	13.4	15.9	-2.45	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Andrew Bynum	51	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	4	6	12.8	14.9	-2.09	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Luke Walton	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	4	6	15.2	11.9	3.26	15.2	17.2	-2.07
Ronny Turiaf	46	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	4	6	12.4	15.1	-2.71	16.7	15.4	1.27
Chris Mihm	42	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	15	-16	14.8	13.1	1.71	16.9	15.4	1.52
Sasha Vujacic	10	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	14	-14	15.1	13.7	1.45	16.9	15.9	1.01
Jordan Farmar	36	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	18	-22	14.3	13.5	0.81	15.6	16.3	-0.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	23	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	18	-22	14.3	13.6	0.72	16.7	15.8	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CLE 103, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 80, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	95.1%