NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	4.9 [869]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): +14.1%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	1.5 [1049]		LVP	Reggie Bullock (DET): -15.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.02	12	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.17	-0.00	0.10	10	91%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Collin Sexton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	8	19%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	13	84%	0.23	6	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	17	65%	0.17	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.00	0.00	10	23%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	26.4	15.6	25.4	2.4	40.6	140.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.8%

CLE -0.2%

DET +21.7%

CLE -19.9%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.3	106.2	113.4	109.3
season	15.5	15.3		106.3	107.5
opponent	14.0	13.9		109.0	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.5	15.4	16.2	12.7	14.9
DET	17.3	14.6	12.6	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	43	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-16	25	14.6	15.1	-0.46	15.8	13.9	1.90
JR Smith	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-10	13	14.0	15.6	-1.55	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Collin Sexton	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	13.9	16.0	-2.08	15.2	14.4	0.74
Larry Nance Jr.	58	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-12	17	13.8	16.5	-2.72	15.2	14.2	1.01
Jordan Clarkson	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	15.0	14.8	0.16	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Cedi Osman	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	1	-9	14.6	15.4	-0.80	15.2	14.1	1.13
Channing Frye	40	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	3	-13	16.5	13.8	2.70	14.5	15.0	-0.54
George Hill	45	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	3	-13	16.0	13.9	2.08	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Tristan Thompson	40	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	9	-25	16.6	13.7	2.87	14.5	15.0	-0.43
Rodney Hood	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	2	-11	14.8	15.0	-0.22	14.4	15.4	-0.97

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	73	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.0	14.5	0.44
Blake Griffin	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	1	5	14.7	15.2	-0.54	14.8	15.1	-0.26
Ish Smith	56	55	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-4	15	13.7	16.3	-2.58	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Stanley Johnson	48	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-5	17	14.3	15.3	-1.06	16.8	13.2	3.61
Reggie Bullock	65	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	7	-7	15.2	14.1	1.11	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Bruce Brown	4	4	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	6.7	15.2	-8.40	22.0	14.6	7.42
Langston Galloway	54	55	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	9	-11	15.4	14.0	1.44	14.0	16.1	-2.13
Luke Kennard	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.05	5	2	3	16.0	14.4	1.61	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Glenn Robinson III	20	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	8	-9	13.6	15.1	-1.52	15.3	14.8	0.53
Reggie Jackson	45	47	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	15	-23	15.6	14.1	1.53	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Zaza Pachulia	21	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	9	-11	15.0	14.7	0.25	16.1	14.6	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 75, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
BKN 99, CHA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%