NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	4.1 [884]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +15.5%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	1.6 [985]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -9.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.00	0.07	6	95%	0.14	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	20	52%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chasson Randle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khem Birch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	40%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Karim Mane	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	19	40%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	13	77%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.25	-0.00	0.11	24	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	7	21%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tacko Fall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	4	62%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	24.4	14.7	27.3	2.3	27.6	123.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.2%

ORL -0.2%

BOS +4.1%

ORL -2.5%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	14.4	102.1	120.4	111.3
season	14.9	14.5		103.9	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.0		111.9	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.3	15.9	16.9	15.4	15.9
BOS	16.0	14.7	13.1	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	21	21	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-18	20	15.1	16.1	-1.04	16.2	14.5	1.74
Karim Mane	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	14.1	16.0	-1.90	18.1	14.6	3.51
Gary Clark	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	14.1	16.0	-1.90	18.1	14.6	3.51
James Ennis III	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-18	20	16.1	15.8	0.30	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Chasson Randle	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-14	12	16.2	15.9	0.29	13.7	15.1	-1.31
Dwayne Bacon	34	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-12	8	17.4	15.0	2.41	14.5	15.1	-0.54
Al-Farouq Aminu	55	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-8	0	15.6	16.4	-0.82	15.6	13.9	1.69
Chuma Okeke	39	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-8	0	16.4	15.6	0.82	14.1	15.4	-1.26
Michael Carter-Williams	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	0	-16	16.3	15.5	0.78	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Aaron Gordon	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-7	-2	15.2	17.7	-2.53	15.1	14.5	0.58
Evan Fournier	72	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	5	-26	15.8	16.2	-0.36	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Nikola Vucevic	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	2	-20	16.1	15.1	1.04	14.5	16.2	-1.74

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	63	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.19	27	-11	38	14.5	15.7	-1.24	16.1	15.5	0.68
Jaylen Brown	63	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-7	30	14.6	15.6	-1.04	16.3	15.0	1.31
Kemba Walker	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.04	18	-2	20	14.6	15.7	-1.06	15.2	17.6	-2.43
Marcus Smart	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	-2	20	14.1	16.6	-2.41	16.0	15.6	0.46
Jayson Tatum	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	9	-2	15.2	14.4	0.73	14.9	17.5	-2.54
Semi Ojeleye	37	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	9	-2	15.8	14.3	1.53	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Aaron Nesmith	28	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	11	-6	15.7	14.5	1.18	16.9	15.5	1.46
Tacko Fall	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	14	-12	18.7	14.8	3.90	20.5	15.8	4.70
Grant Williams	37	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	19	-22	14.6	15.1	-0.49	16.7	15.4	1.37
Robert Williams III	43	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.31	-15	31	-46	16.0	13.9	2.15	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Payton Pritchard	19	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	27	-38	16.3	14.5	1.79	16.7	15.7	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 90, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DEN 102, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%