NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	102		Excitement	3.6 [867]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +15.1%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	1.5 [582]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -14.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	61%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.08	15	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	7	73%	0.05	3	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.03	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	-0.02	-0.05	8	28%	-0.04	6	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	-0.00	16	66%	0.15	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	10	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	32.0	18.4	26.4	1.7	30.0	138.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.1%

UTA +2.7%

DEN -3.5%

UTA +3.0%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.6	108.5	126.0	102.8
season	14.5	15.8		107.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.1	14.9	14.7	12.8	14.4
UTA	14.9	14.5	15.9	18.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julyan Stone	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-16	13	12.2	14.5	-2.32	13.8	16.0	-2.21
Corey Brewer	43	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.3	14.5	-0.17	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Jordan Hamilton	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-21	23	14.2	14.5	-0.30	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Andre Miller	52	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-23	27	14.4	14.4	-0.06	16.2	15.5	0.76
Al Harrington	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-18	17	13.7	15.3	-1.59	16.8	14.8	2.06
JaVale McGee	54	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.09	-7	-12	5	13.3	15.8	-2.49	16.8	14.6	2.22
Timofey Mozgov	36	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	-4	-11	16.4	13.1	3.32	14.1	17.0	-2.87
Ty Lawson	60	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	-2	-15	13.8	15.5	-1.73	16.5	14.9	1.54
Kenneth Faried	45	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-4	-11	14.8	14.0	0.86	15.5	16.3	-0.86
Wilson Chandler	53	51	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	4	-27	14.5	14.2	0.31	16.3	15.4	0.87
Arron Afflalo	45	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	3	-25	15.6	13.3	2.23	14.8	16.9	-2.12

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	52	52	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.13	26	-7	33	14.9	17.1	-2.23	16.0	12.5	3.51
Al Jefferson	62	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.10	22	-3	25	15.7	16.4	-0.69	15.4	12.6	2.78
Devin Harris	56	55	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-1	21	15.0	17.2	-2.26	15.6	12.7	2.82
Gordon Hayward	70	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.11	20	-1	21	16.0	15.7	0.35	15.4	11.3	4.09
Paul Millsap	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	7	5	16.0	15.8	0.18	14.5	14.3	0.20
Derrick Favors	49	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	17	-15	16.7	15.1	1.57	14.5	14.3	0.17
Earl Watson	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	13.8	16.0	-2.21	12.2	14.5	-2.32
Jeremy Evans	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	14.2	16.1	-1.81	11.6	14.6	-3.05
Jamaal Tinsley	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	23	-27	17.8	14.9	2.97	12.8	15.3	-2.46
Alec Burks	38	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	22	-25	17.5	14.8	2.68	12.3	15.7	-3.34
DeMarre Carroll	32	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	24	-29	15.4	16.1	-0.70	11.7	15.6	-3.91
Enes Kanter	18	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	20	-21	15.2	16.1	-0.91	11.3	15.0	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 67, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DEN 79, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
TOR 82, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%