NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	67		Excitement	3.0 [1209]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +9.6%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	1.5 [938]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -13.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	-0.11	13	39%	-0.01	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	61%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	14	47%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.01	-0.05	13	58%	0.10	0	0.00	7	43%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	18	44%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	9	44%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	15	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	3.5	34.4	20.4	31.1	2.8	29.2	144.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.3%

IND -3.3%

DET +15.4%

DET +7.6%

DET +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	18.1	19.0	15.5	88.2	108.9	104.0
season	16.8	16.7		101.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.1	19.2	19.8	17.7	18.1
DET	18.2	19.7	16.4	22.3	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	32	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-27	35	16.2	19.5	-3.30	18.9	19.1	-0.18
Fred Jones	27	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-26	33	16.9	18.8	-1.87	21.3	17.7	3.58
Eddie Gill	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	22.5	18.0	4.49	30.7	18.6	12.11
Scot Pollard	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	16.8	18.3	-1.54	26.4	17.9	8.46
James Jones	11	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-26	33	14.9	18.7	-3.77	23.1	18.2	4.86
Jeff Foster	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	17.3	18.7	-1.38	17.6	19.9	-2.33
Austin Croshere	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-20	21	17.7	18.2	-0.50	19.6	18.9	0.77
Dale Davis	48	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	-2	-15	18.7	17.2	1.51	18.9	19.3	-0.41
Stephen Jackson	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	5	-29	18.7	15.2	3.52	18.0	23.4	-5.42
Jamaal Tinsley	42	42	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.22	-27	8	-35	19.4	16.6	2.79	18.3	19.9	-1.60
Jermaine O'Neal	51	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.21	-27	8	-35	18.5	17.5	0.97	18.4	20.3	-1.87
Reggie Miller	50	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.22	-28	9	-37	18.8	16.9	1.90	18.0	21.0	-2.96

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	63	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.10	23	-4	27	18.3	21.6	-3.28	18.6	16.7	1.92
Chauncey Billups	63	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.21	25	-6	31	18.7	20.1	-1.39	18.2	17.7	0.50
Tayshaun Prince	65	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.13	20	-1	21	19.1	18.6	0.45	17.8	19.4	-1.59
Richard Hamilton	60	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	5	9	18.5	20.6	-2.13	17.9	19.1	-1.19
Rasheed Wallace	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	8	3	19.6	18.3	1.29	18.0	18.3	-0.34
Antonio McDyess	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.15	12	7	5	16.7	21.6	-4.89	18.3	18.0	0.30
Lindsey Hunter	10	8	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	14	-9	18.7	19.1	-0.36	19.6	18.0	1.67
Carlos Arroyo	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	22	-25	19.7	18.6	1.02	18.2	18.1	0.07
Elden Campbell	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	28.2	18.0	10.28	16.0	18.3	-2.35
Darko Milicic	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	26.8	18.5	8.31	16.0	18.3	-2.28
Ronald Dupree	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	23	-27	21.8	18.6	3.19	19.8	17.9	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 102, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
DEN 79, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 89, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%