NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	126		Excitement	8.4 [253]		MVP	Darius Garland (CLE): +39.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	132		Comeback	6.1 [667]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -8.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.20	0.04	0.00	14	82%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.05	0.00	7	107%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	0.00	10	71%	0.18	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
RJ Barrett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	15	61%	0.17	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gradey Dick	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	20	55%	0.08	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.39	0.39	0.24	0.19	0.04	22	75%	0.48	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	7	86%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	11	75%	0.23	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	12	69%	0.21	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	9	82%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	27.4	1.0	25.8	2.5	32.5	114.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +0.3%

CLE +17.8%

CLE +13.0%

CLE +13.8%

CLE +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	14.4	128.6	132.0	113.1
season	13.9	13.7		109.0	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.6		110.8	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	16.1	12.5	14.2	14.2
CLE	14.0	13.9	15.2	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja'Kobe Walter	29	30	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.03	5	-11	16	15.6	13.7	1.92	15.4	14.6	0.74
Jamal Shead	31	33	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-10	14	13.9	14.4	-0.48	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Chris Boucher	50	53	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.21	10	-16	26	14.7	13.7	0.99	15.4	14.2	1.16
Kelly Olynyk	11	11	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-6	6	15.4	14.1	1.27	16.9	14.6	2.31
Gradey Dick	49	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-5	4	12.6	15.9	-3.24	14.4	15.3	-0.94
Jakob Poeltl	72	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	13.5	16.4	-2.93	14.6	15.7	-1.09
Davion Mitchell	31	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	7	-20	15.6	13.6	2.02	15.3	14.7	0.64
Scottie Barnes	76	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.42	-7	1	-8	14.6	13.0	1.65	15.1	14.0	1.17
RJ Barrett	80	82	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.26	-15	9	-24	13.9	15.7	-1.75	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Immanuel Quickley	61	60	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.39	-13	7	-20	14.6	13.6	1.07	15.0	14.6	0.46

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	76	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-12	30	14.5	15.9	-1.35	14.2	14.2	0.03
Caris LeVert	74	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	5	-4	15.5	13.1	2.40	14.1	14.5	-0.41
Dean Wade	60	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-6	18	14.3	15.6	-1.29	14.3	14.1	0.21
Jarrett Allen	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-2	10	14.7	15.1	-0.33	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Sam Merrill	26	25	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-7	20	14.3	15.0	-0.73	15.4	13.8	1.51
Max Strus	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	8	-10	14.4	15.4	-1.01	13.8	14.7	-0.82
Evan Mobley	67	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	7	-8	15.5	13.5	1.99	14.2	14.2	0.01
Isaac Okoro	15	16	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	0	6	14.7	14.9	-0.14	15.4	14.0	1.44
Georges Niang	28	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	19	-32	15.7	14.5	1.15	14.8	14.0	0.78
Ty Jerome	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.06	-12	18	-30	14.6	15.0	-0.37	14.3	14.2	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.93,0.78,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 74, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.72,1	91.9%
SAC 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	91.9%
MEM 78, ORL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	91.8%