NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Excitement	8.1 [135]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +17.5%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	10.1 [126]		LVP	Andrew DeClercq (CLE): -24.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.12	-0.02	8	62%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	10	48%	-0.03	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	8	37%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	20	48%	-0.11	2	-0.07	12	58%	-0.12
Derek Anderson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.08	-0.16	-0.02	10	39%	-0.15	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.24	-0.10	-0.18	-0.04	10	31%	-0.24	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.24

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.00	8	52%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	74%	0.21	3	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	45%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	44%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	46%	-0.05	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.03	0.01	12	38%	-0.06	4	-0.15	10	90%	0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	29.0	15.5	28.6	2.7	44.8	147.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.8%

NYK +53.2%

CLE -17.9%

CLE -14.1%

NYK +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.8	85.1	89.7	99.6
season	16.3	16.0		97.3	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.2		95.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.8	18.6	15.8	17.1	17.3
NYK	15.8	16.5	15.5	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	30	30	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-6	8	17.6	17.1	0.49	17.0	15.2	1.84
Bob Sura	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-6	8	18.2	17.0	1.19	18.3	15.2	3.07
Derek Anderson	45	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-8	12	17.4	17.1	0.35	16.1	15.5	0.58
Corie Blount	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	17.8	17.2	0.61	18.1	15.4	2.64
Danny Ferry	31	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	18.7	16.5	2.18	15.2	16.2	-0.94
Andrew DeClercq	61	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-4	4	16.6	18.8	-2.24	15.9	15.7	0.22
Cedric Henderson	51	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	2	-8	17.3	17.2	0.14	15.6	16.1	-0.44
Shawn Kemp	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.33	-5	1	-6	17.1	17.8	-0.66	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Brevin Knight	59	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	5	-14	17.2	17.4	-0.17	15.1	17.5	-2.33
Wesley Person	59	58	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	1	-6	16.7	18.5	-1.75	15.2	17.2	-2.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	62	61	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.40	16	-12	28	15.1	17.6	-2.54	17.6	16.5	1.05
Marcus Camby	46	46	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.53	6	-2	8	15.6	16.1	-0.46	17.9	16.6	1.31
Allan Houston	74	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-4	12	15.7	16.4	-0.65	17.3	17.4	-0.16
Charlie Ward	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	6	-8	15.7	16.4	-0.67	17.3	17.2	0.12
Patrick Ewing	70	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	5	-6	16.2	14.2	1.98	17.0	18.2	-1.20
Kurt Thomas	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	-4	12	14.0	17.5	-3.46	18.1	16.5	1.55
Chris Dudley	17	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.09	-7	11	-18	19.2	15.0	4.24	15.8	17.7	-1.89
Latrell Sprewell	54	56	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.08	-8	12	-20	17.0	14.0	2.99	16.6	18.5	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.67,0.58,1	91.4%
CLE 94, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.98,0.95,1	91.1%
TOR 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.25,0.36,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.41,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.84,1	90.9%