NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	8.2 [223]		MVP	Jon Barry (SAC): +22.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	109		Comeback	15.9 [243]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -28.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.05	0.17	-0.00	4	77%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.08	0.15	-0.02	0.04	16	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.14	0.01	13	56%	-0.05	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.28	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.2,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28	-0.11	-0.19	-0.02	24	46%	-0.04	5	-0.24	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.19	0.02	32	55%	0.30	4	-0.13	7	43%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	24	70%	0.26	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.01	10	48%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	31.6	15.8	25.2	2.5	44.5	144.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -7.9%

LAL +6.2%

LAL +46.9%

LAL +8.0%

SAC -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	15.7	15.2	109.3	113.5	101.7
season	13.8	15.3		102.9	105.6
opponent	15.1	14.7		98.1	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	12.9	14.2	16.0	14.2
LAL	17.6	15.4	14.6	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	59	58	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-13	23	14.4	13.8	0.59	15.8	15.4	0.38
Tony Delk	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	12.4	14.4	-1.98	16.5	15.6	0.98
Lawrence Funderburke	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	12.4	14.4	-1.98	16.5	15.6	0.98
Vlade Divac	76	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.40	8	-11	19	13.8	15.4	-1.60	16.1	13.9	2.16
Peja Stojakovic	77	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.45	6	-9	15	14.0	14.7	-0.72	15.6	16.0	-0.47
Tyrone Corbin	29	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	6	-15	14.1	14.2	-0.05	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Bill Wennington	14	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	8	-19	17.2	13.7	3.55	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Jason Williams	87	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-3	3	14.4	12.4	1.98	15.6	16.5	-0.98
Chris Webber	91	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	0	-3	14.4	10.8	3.56	15.5	17.6	-2.04
Jon Barry	32	33	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	7	-17	13.6	14.5	-0.91	15.6	15.7	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	43	43	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.38	19	-16	35	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.3	13.3	1.94
Robert Horry	65	67	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.34	15	-12	27	14.6	17.8	-3.19	14.5	13.4	1.07
Derek Fisher	22	21	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-9	21	16.5	15.4	1.01	15.4	13.8	1.60
Brian Shaw	46	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-10	23	14.5	16.7	-2.18	14.1	14.2	-0.14
Shaquille O'Neal	91	92	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	15.9	12.2	3.67	14.3	11.8	2.50
Kobe Bryant	87	88	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.45	-5	8	-13	15.6	16.9	-1.34	13.9	17.2	-3.36
Travis Knight	4	4	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	14.7	15.7	-0.97	14.7	14.2	0.60
A.C. Green	31	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	15	-27	17.8	14.6	3.19	13.4	14.5	-1.07
Ron Harper	38	38	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.07	-16	19	-35	16.5	15.1	1.41	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Glen Rice	53	54	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.03	-16	19	-35	15.7	15.6	0.09	13.3	15.3	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.68,0.9,0.78,0.73,1	92.4%
POR 86, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.53,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.72,1	92.0%
CLE 74, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.72,1	91.4%