NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	7.9 [285]		MVP	Mario Chalmers (MEM): +17.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	17.1 [57]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -20.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.02	9	100%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.10	-0.10	0.00	11	81%	0.24	4	-0.24	5	100%	0.04
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
T.J. McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	44%	0.04	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.15	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	13	43%	-0.07	4	-0.09	9	56%	-0.23
Robert Covington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,-0.16	0.00	-0.17	-0.00	14	55%	0.01	3	-0.18	5	80%	0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	8	37%	-0.07	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	9	71%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Myke Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	59%	0.17	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.09	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	6	44%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.08,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	16	46%	0.10	2	-0.11	7	71%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.3	26.8	15.8	34.2	1.8	38.3	148.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -4.3%

MEM +29.6%

PHI -16.0%

MEM +46.3%

PHI -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	14.7	108.6	114.1	107.5
season	13.9	15.4		108.1	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		109.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	15.5	14.2	13.7	14.7
MEM	16.6	16.5	18.5	14.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	34	30	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.08	3	-7	10	14.1	15.0	-0.90	18.0	15.7	2.34
Amir Johnson	32	31	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.11	1	-5	6	14.0	15.0	-1.05	17.0	16.2	0.82
Trevor Booker	28	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	4	-12	14.9	14.6	0.34	14.4	17.2	-2.88
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	58	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-2	0	15.2	13.9	1.33	15.3	18.5	-3.12
Dario Saric	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-10	16	14.7	14.6	0.20	17.7	13.5	4.21
Ben Simmons	67	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-10	16	14.6	15.0	-0.43	17.3	14.5	2.80
Robert Covington	67	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.45	-6	2	-8	14.3	15.6	-1.23	16.5	16.2	0.28
T.J. McConnell	54	56	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.19	-15	11	-26	14.9	14.4	0.48	15.2	18.3	-3.08
Joel Embiid	61	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.49	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.0	1.05	16.2	17.0	-0.82

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myke Henry	31	33	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-8	20	16.2	16.6	-0.45	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Tyreke Evans	67	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	16.6	16.2	0.35	15.2	13.4	1.75
Dillon Brooks	54	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	1	2	16.8	15.9	0.87	15.0	14.3	0.67
Marc Gasol	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.47	-1	5	-6	16.8	15.4	1.42	15.2	13.3	1.88
Jarell Martin	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	9	-14	16.2	17.0	-0.77	14.9	14.2	0.74
Ivan Rabb	29	29	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-6	16	17.2	16.1	1.15	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Mario Chalmers	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	-4	12	15.4	17.5	-2.09	14.0	15.3	-1.35
Deyonta Davis	25	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	0	4	15.2	16.9	-1.73	14.1	14.9	-0.80
Ben McLemore	10	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	10	-16	13.0	16.9	-3.88	15.4	14.6	0.77
Wayne Selden	28	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.03	-7	11	-18	15.9	16.7	-0.86	15.4	14.4	0.96
Andrew Harrison	42	42	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.10	-9	13	-22	18.4	14.8	3.63	14.3	15.0	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.68,0.9,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.73,1	92.5%
SAC 106, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.51,0.6,0.75,0.85,0.67,0.58,1	92.4%
IND 99, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.46,0.68,0.93,0.94,0.95,1	91.2%