NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	7.3 [365]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +24.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	12.3 [131]		LVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): -22.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.06	0.00	15	78%	0.21	4	-0.17	7	71%	-0.06
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.09	-0.13	-0.03	22	40%	-0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.20	0.02	26	59%	0.32	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	13	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	6	59%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	7	14%	-0.15	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	14	30%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	25.5	17.8	24.4	2.4	40.5	138.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +1.0%

MIN +27.0%

MIN +18.8%

MIN +6.5%

NYK -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	14.3	15.2	97.8	102.2	101.7
season	16.1	15.1		100.0	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		101.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.1	18.0	17.7	18.2	17.2
MIN	14.9	13.3	14.4	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	36	35	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	16.1	17.9	-1.81	14.3	14.2	0.06
Chris Dudley	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-2	1	19.1	16.9	2.18	13.5	14.4	-0.83
Kurt Thomas	64	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	16.4	19.0	-2.66	13.8	15.4	-1.67
Allan Houston	74	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-12	21	17.0	17.9	-0.94	14.0	15.4	-1.46
Charlie Ward	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.48	9	-12	21	16.3	18.5	-2.21	14.7	13.7	1.01
Larry Johnson	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	4	-11	18.7	16.3	2.36	15.2	13.7	1.53
Marcus Camby	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-6	9	17.3	16.8	0.54	14.6	13.2	1.38
Chris Childs	38	38	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	15	-33	18.6	16.2	2.42	13.8	14.6	-0.74
Latrell Sprewell	78	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	8	-19	17.4	15.9	1.48	14.3	14.4	-0.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	39	39	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.43	15	-12	27	14.1	14.4	-0.26	17.9	16.7	1.24
Joe Smith	56	57	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-6	15	14.2	14.4	-0.16	17.6	16.6	0.99
Kevin Garnett	87	88	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-4	11	14.1	18.7	-4.68	17.3	15.0	2.28
Anthony Peeler	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.53	-3	6	-9	14.3	14.2	0.05	17.0	17.8	-0.84
Terrell Brandon	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.51	-4	7	-11	14.1	14.8	-0.72	16.5	19.5	-3.04
Bobby Jackson	23	22	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	14.2	14.3	-0.13	19.5	16.5	3.04
Sam Mitchell	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	14.8	14.2	0.62	15.6	17.4	-1.78
Wally Szczerbiak	66	68	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.14	-4	7	-11	14.3	14.3	-0.06	17.2	17.0	0.19
Rasho Nesterovic	38	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	13	-23	15.2	13.6	1.61	16.4	17.8	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.68,0.9,0.78,0.73,1	92.5%
ORL 79, CHH 80	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,1	92.3%
HOU 106, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	91.1%