NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	113		Excitement	4.7 [474]		MVP	Cam Thomas (BKN): +14.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	110		Comeback	1.7 [63]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -31.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.02	-0.08	22	48%	0.15	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Cameron Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	16	81%	0.16	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Ziaire Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Keon Johnson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tyrese Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.00	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.08	0.01	20	48%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.32	-0.32	-0.01	-0.21	0.10	24	47%	-0.25	3	-0.07	10	30%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	31.8	14.7	30.3	1.6	36.9	145.9
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +23.8%

BKN +18.7%

BKN +11.2%

MIL -5.4%

BKN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIL	NBA	BKN	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.4	114.1	111.1	112.3
season	15.3	14.4		108.1	113.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		110.0	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.0	16.3	14.4	16.1	15.2
MIL	16.0	12.5	15.0	12.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ziaire Williams	40	41	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-9	21	13.8	16.2	-2.39	13.5	14.2	-0.73
Day'Ron Sharpe	41	40	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-14	31	15.6	14.9	0.74	14.3	13.6	0.77
Cameron Johnson	79	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	5	-7	15.3	14.8	0.44	13.7	14.5	-0.79
Tyrese Martin	31	29	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-13	29	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.4	13.2	2.21
Nic Claxton	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	4	-5	14.8	16.2	-1.38	13.8	14.0	-0.21
D'Angelo Russell	55	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	2	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.50	14.3	13.4	0.89
Keon Johnson	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.37	-6	9	-15	15.6	14.6	1.05	14.1	13.6	0.51
Jalen Wilson	76	77	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.65	-21	24	-45	15.4	14.5	0.89	13.6	14.9	-1.25
Cam Thomas	47	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	4	-5	16.4	14.1	2.33	12.9	14.7	-1.72

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarJon Beauchamp	14	14	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.47	18	-21	39	10.1	14.5	-4.45	18.3	14.7	3.59
Pat Connaughton	20	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.37	14	-17	31	12.0	14.4	-2.30	17.7	14.6	3.14
Andre Jackson Jr.	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-4	5	15.0	13.5	1.48	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Giannis Antetokounmpo	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.56	12	-15	27	13.8	14.4	-0.61	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Taurean Prince	37	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	1	-5	13.7	14.0	-0.30	14.7	15.5	-0.84
Brook Lopez	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	5	-13	15.0	12.9	2.12	15.0	15.4	-0.46
Ryan Rollins	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	10	-23	14.7	13.3	1.37	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Khris Middleton	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	15	-33	15.3	12.5	2.77	14.5	15.9	-1.33
Gary Trent Jr.	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	8	-19	14.0	13.8	0.11	15.4	15.1	0.29
Bobby Portis	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	12.5	15.9	-3.33	15.8	14.2	1.60
Damian Lillard	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	1	-5	13.9	13.7	0.17	15.4	14.2	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, WAS 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
ATL 112, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 112, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%