NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	3.1 [1126]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +13.2%
Dallas Mavericks	79		Comeback	1.7 [1015]		LVP	Erick Strickland (DAL): -11.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.00	0.04	20	68%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	71%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	8	60%	0.05	2	-0.01	9	78%	0.01
Ed Gray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.01	0.06	10	65%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	16	49%	0.05	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bubba Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	17	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	8	28%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	42%	-0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	10	10%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	25.3	16.4	22.5	2.3	23.7	115.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.9%

ATL +5.7%

ATL +3.9%

ATL +2.8%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	15.6	119.1	84.0	102.5
season	16.1	15.8		105.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	16.0		104.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	13.6	16.2	14.0	14.7
DAL	14.5	14.7	19.8	15.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	66	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.24	23	10	13	15.3	13.4	1.83	16.3	15.0	1.28
Dikembe Mutombo	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	17	-1	15.5	13.1	2.41	16.1	15.5	0.63
Mookie Blaylock	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	21	-9	15.7	13.3	2.37	16.3	15.4	0.96
Chucky Brown	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	16	1	14.4	15.1	-0.73	16.2	15.7	0.50
Steven Smith	67	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	23	-13	15.3	13.1	2.20	16.5	14.5	1.98
Christian Laettner	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	22	-11	15.1	14.2	0.89	16.4	15.3	1.11
Eldridge Recasner	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.45	24	9	15	13.6	15.7	-2.13	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Ed Gray	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.41	20	13	7	13.2	15.6	-2.36	14.4	16.8	-2.40
Greg Anderson	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.38	13	20	-7	12.8	15.1	-2.31	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Chris Crawford	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	23	-13	12.7	15.1	-2.43	13.7	16.3	-2.60
Anthony Miller	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	24	-15	12.5	15.0	-2.48	11.3	16.4	-5.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-26	19	10.0	16.5	-6.48	12.4	15.0	-2.51
Martin Muursepp	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-26	19	10.0	16.5	-6.48	12.4	15.0	-2.51
Bubba Wells	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-26	19	10.0	16.5	-6.48	12.4	15.0	-2.51
Khalid Reeves	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-26	19	16.8	15.3	1.52	16.2	13.6	2.63
Chris Anstey	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.45	-22	-11	-11	13.9	17.4	-3.47	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Samaki Walker	65	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-21	9	17.2	13.2	3.98	15.2	13.8	1.39
Hubert Davis	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.51	-27	-6	-21	15.2	16.6	-1.43	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Erick Strickland	48	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.26	-20	-13	-7	16.0	15.9	0.07	13.5	15.8	-2.29
A.C. Green	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-17	1	16.7	15.0	1.63	15.9	13.2	2.65
Dennis Scott	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	-12	-9	16.9	11.4	5.48	15.0	13.3	1.69
Michael Finley	76	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	-14	-5	16.3	14.4	1.90	14.8	14.3	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 109, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SEA 113, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
PHI 97, DET 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%