NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	2.5 [1268]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +11.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	1.3 [492]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -7.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.00	0.04	18	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	16	94%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	11	73%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	8	55%	0.04	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	5	82%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.16	-0.01	0.12	20	66%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	5	75%	0.01	1	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	30.0	15.5	27.2	2.6	30.2	134.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +21.2%

DAL +15.9%

DAL +2.7%

DAL +10.2%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	17.5	15.6	131.3	113.6	104.4
season	16.4	16.6		109.0	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.6		109.8	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.8	16.6	18.8	19.2	17.6
POR	18.5	18.6	16.2	16.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	62	60	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.27	24	-7	31	17.6	17.6	-0.05	17.7	17.0	0.67
Dirk Nowitzki	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.24	22	-5	27	17.9	16.5	1.42	18.3	15.0	3.27
Marquis Daniels	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	8	1	16.8	18.6	-1.87	16.6	18.9	-2.36
Erick Dampier	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	10	-3	17.5	17.7	-0.18	17.4	17.8	-0.42
Devin Harris	53	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	3	11	17.2	18.3	-1.08	18.2	16.1	2.16
Jerry Stackhouse	46	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	15	-13	18.0	17.1	0.95	18.0	17.0	1.07
Adrian Griffin	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	11	-5	18.8	16.8	2.06	18.7	16.8	1.94
DeSagana Diop	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	6	5	17.4	17.7	-0.25	19.2	16.7	2.46
Josh Powell	26	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	21	-25	17.1	17.8	-0.73	15.4	18.4	-3.02
Darrell Armstrong	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.5	17.6	-0.08	7.3	17.9	-10.60
DJ Mbenga	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.5	17.6	-0.08	7.3	17.9	-10.60
Rawle Marshall	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	17.5	17.6	-0.08	7.3	17.9	-10.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-24	31	16.5	18.1	-1.65	18.7	17.0	1.66
Sebastian Telfair	29	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-18	19	16.4	18.2	-1.81	18.4	17.1	1.29
Voshon Lenard	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-15	13	20.4	17.1	3.26	17.5	17.6	-0.04
Travis Outlaw	30	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-14	11	16.8	18.0	-1.23	18.8	16.8	2.01
Juan Dixon	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-5	-7	17.3	17.7	-0.31	17.3	17.7	-0.44
Viktor Khryapa	48	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-8	-1	17.3	17.8	-0.52	18.4	16.5	1.95
Brian Skinner	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-9	1	18.5	17.2	1.34	16.6	17.9	-1.28
Jarrett Jack	16	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-9	1	15.9	17.9	-2.00	16.4	17.9	-1.57
Theo Ratliff	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-9	1	17.4	17.7	-0.26	17.3	17.9	-0.59
Darius Miles	28	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-10	3	18.2	17.2	0.97	17.0	17.9	-0.92
Steve Blake	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	1	-19	18.2	16.4	1.81	17.1	18.4	-1.29
Zach Randolph	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	1	-19	18.0	13.6	4.35	17.2	20.2	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	97.1%
ATL 112, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
TOR 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%