inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 89 Excitement2.8 [1187] MVPMorris Peterson (TOR): +4.4%
Detroit Pistons 78 Comeback1.5 [140] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -8.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.00881%0.083-0.0400%0.00
Rafer Alston0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.02642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.09-0.00-0.102635%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01844%0.0000.002100%0.01
Mamadou N'diaye0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Maceo Baston0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Jefferies0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Bradley-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.021164%0.064-0.06367%-0.00
Jerome Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01492%0.045-0.06475%-0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.001546%-0.031-0.00580%0.01
Jelani McCoy-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.04250%0.024-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.021054%0.0400.00425%-0.03
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.002100%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04667%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011350%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.05922%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.010.041544%-0.0800.006100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.010.071650%-0.052-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.629.116.425.41.826.3123.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +28.8%
TOR +7.4%
TOR +16.1%
DET -6.3%
TOR +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game17.015.315.5100.087.6101.6
season16.216.898.8101.7
opponent15.615.397.8105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.115.717.721.017.0
DET15.915.616.613.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Williams73740.480.020.45-0.0518-72516.519.4-2.8816.012.33.63
Vince Carter66660.460.040.42-0.1621-103117.316.30.9515.714.51.17
Michael Bradley65660.390.110.28-0.0816-52117.415.91.5615.215.9-0.76
Alvin Williams54550.300.200.10-0.0813-21517.815.81.9515.515.10.37
Voshon Lenard51510.280.220.070.1938-517.716.11.5414.616.3-1.73
Morris Peterson57570.260.240.010.2029-716.018.7-2.7116.213.72.50
Rafer Alston35340.200.30-0.100.26-213-1515.817.8-1.9515.115.5-0.37
Jelani McCoy32310.130.37-0.230.22-314-1717.017.0-0.0716.414.81.64
Mamadou N'diaye430.000.50-0.500.15-516-2118.516.91.564.715.7-11.05
Maceo Baston440.000.50-0.500.12-415-1918.516.91.567.015.7-8.74
Chris Jefferies440.000.50-0.500.12-415-1918.516.91.567.015.7-8.74

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Manning67-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-17237.315.9-8.5920.016.83.24
Hubert Davis2424-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-121315.215.4-0.1317.416.90.50
Michael Curry2728-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-5-117.714.33.3816.717.1-0.38
Jon Barry3635-0.15-0.350.20-0.150-111115.215.4-0.2116.717.2-0.49
Corliss Williamson4242-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-7316.114.71.4616.217.8-1.60
Richard Hamilton5758-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.15-7-4-314.816.2-1.4117.316.50.81
Tayshaun Prince4545-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.17-6-5-114.316.4-2.1018.215.82.36
Chauncey Billups6565-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-121-1315.415.20.1316.917.4-0.50
Ben Wallace7877-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.03-121-1315.911.14.8616.818.2-1.43
Clifford Robinson6564-0.42-0.08-0.330.02-154-1915.116.0-0.8416.717.9-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 93, BOS 860.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,096.9%
CLE 125, MIN 990.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
DAL 109, POR 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%