NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	2.8 [981]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +8.9%
Detroit Pistons	68		Comeback	1.4 [705]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -10.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	17	56%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	16	51%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Vernon Macklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	5	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	40%	-0.06	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	10	15%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	10	20%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.8	29.3	17.5	26.5	2.6	22.2	125.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.2%

PHI +2.9%

DET -4.8%

PHI +16.1%

DET -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	16.8	15.6	104.3	74.7	102.8
season	15.6	16.3		101.0	99.5
opponent	15.4	16.1		104.4	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	14.6	14.3	16.3	14.5
DET	18.4	19.0	15.1	15.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	12	5	14.4	14.7	-0.29	17.1	16.4	0.72
Thaddeus Young	55	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	6	17	16.2	12.1	4.12	17.1	16.4	0.72
Jodie Meeks	72	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.28	21	8	13	13.8	17.0	-3.21	16.6	17.7	-1.17
Elton Brand	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	15	-1	13.1	15.7	-2.60	18.0	15.7	2.29
Jrue Holiday	51	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	16	-3	14.0	15.2	-1.23	17.3	16.3	1.02
Lavoy Allen	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	21	-13	13.3	15.2	-1.88	16.0	17.3	-1.37
Evan Turner	45	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.28	18	11	7	14.8	14.2	0.64	17.4	16.3	1.15
Louis Williams	46	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	8	13	16.4	12.7	3.71	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Nikola Vucevic	45	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.39	16	13	3	15.0	14.0	0.98	16.9	16.7	0.19
Francisco Elson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	12.7	14.7	-1.93	10.7	17.3	-6.61
Andres Nocioni	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	12.7	14.7	-1.93	10.7	17.3	-6.61

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Macklin	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-29	29	12.8	17.3	-4.51	14.4	14.5	-0.17
Austin Daye	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-29	29	12.8	17.3	-4.51	14.4	14.5	-0.17
Jonas Jerebko	33	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.30	-15	-14	-1	16.4	17.1	-0.71	14.5	14.5	0.02
Damien Wilkins	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.27	-14	-15	1	16.1	17.3	-1.18	14.7	14.4	0.36
Ben Gordon	48	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.30	-17	-12	-5	16.1	17.7	-1.59	15.7	13.1	2.60
Ben Wallace	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.32	-18	-11	-7	18.0	16.4	1.57	15.2	14.3	0.93
Will Bynum	22	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-16	3	15.5	17.2	-1.67	14.7	14.5	0.28
Rodney Stuckey	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-14	-1	17.7	15.3	2.32	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Brandon Knight	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-16	3	17.1	16.4	0.69	13.6	15.8	-2.15
Greg Monroe	58	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-17	5	16.9	16.6	0.37	14.3	14.9	-0.66
Jason Maxiell	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	-16	3	18.1	15.4	2.70	14.5	14.5	0.05
Tayshaun Prince	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-14	-1	17.3	16.1	1.18	14.4	14.7	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 112, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIL 107, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIL 110, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%