NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	3.3 [1085]		MVP	A.C. Green (DAL): +7.6%
Washington Wizards	77		Comeback	1.7 [71]		LVP	Ben Wallace (WAS): -7.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	66%	0.09	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	7	25%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	26	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	71%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	15	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	16	55%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	15	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	18	66%	0.03	5	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	19	40%	0.02	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	6	7%	-0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.7	20.7	14.8	25.4	2.3	31.6	116.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.4%

DAL +1.5%

DAL +5.4%

DAL +11.1%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	15.6	110.8	81.1	102.5
season	15.8	15.1		98.3	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	15.7	15.4	19.0	16.2
WAS	15.8	17.0	12.3	13.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	89	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.37	30	-4	34	16.2	16.5	-0.34	15.0	5.8	9.17
A.C. Green	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	0	26	16.2	0.0	16.17	14.5	0.0	14.48
Khalid Reeves	67	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	10	6	15.0	19.2	-4.19	14.7	14.0	0.67
Cedric Ceballos	82	83	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	8	10	16.6	12.7	3.91	14.0	17.5	-3.45
Shawn Bradley	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	14	-2	15.4	17.1	-1.68	14.8	14.1	0.73
Chris Anstey	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	12	2	17.1	15.4	1.68	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Hubert Davis	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.24	12	14	-2	17.7	15.1	2.60	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Erick Strickland	3	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	24	-22	10.7	16.4	-5.69	19.7	14.3	5.50

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Moten	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-21	16	6.9	15.2	-8.31	13.0	16.4	-3.43
Darvin Ham	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-23	20	11.1	14.9	-3.84	19.0	15.8	3.21
Chris Whitney	30	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.30	-14	-12	-2	13.6	14.9	-1.34	15.1	16.6	-1.57
Terry Davis	38	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.25	-13	-13	0	15.9	13.5	2.35	15.0	16.9	-1.91
Tracy Murray	45	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-19	12	15.2	13.9	1.32	15.1	17.0	-1.88
Harvey Grant	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-19	12	13.1	16.0	-2.90	17.5	14.7	2.74
Ben Wallace	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-12	-2	13.4	15.5	-2.06	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Calbert Cheaney	87	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	-2	-22	14.8	11.0	3.80	16.3	14.3	2.04
Rod Strickland	75	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	-4	-18	15.4	11.0	4.41	16.7	14.0	2.69
Chris Webber	87	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	-5	-16	15.2	6.9	8.31	16.4	13.0	3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, BOS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0	96.2%
ATL 112, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CLE 98, DET 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	96.0%