NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	4.0 [1000]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +13.6%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	1.3 [991]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -12.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.00	-0.02	7	93%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	5	85%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	93%	0.13	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07	0.03	-0.00	-0.04	24	58%	0.13	5	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Mo Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.09	16	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.23	0.00	-0.11	13	13%	-0.09	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	30.3	17.3	29.4	2.8	39.3	147.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.8%

CLE +13.9%

DET -14.4%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	16.4	15.3	111.4	103.5	106.0
season	16.1	16.8		109.5	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.3	18.9	16.0	16.7	16.9
DET	17.2	18.9	16.8	13.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-2	14	17.1	16.0	1.07	14.7	24.9	-10.15
Anderson Varejao	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	1	8	17.4	15.9	1.49	15.9	17.6	-1.73
Jamario Moon	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	17.0	16.8	0.26	15.8	17.2	-1.45
JJ Hickson	49	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-3	16	17.0	16.7	0.30	16.4	16.3	0.06
Mo Williams	71	68	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	7	-4	17.3	15.3	2.00	16.1	17.5	-1.37
Daniel Gibson	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	16.7	17.0	-0.32	18.6	14.6	4.02
Anthony Parker	56	52	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	9	-8	16.1	18.2	-2.11	15.6	17.7	-2.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	43	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	13	-16	16.2	17.6	-1.37	20.2	12.9	7.32

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-10	10	0.0	16.4	-16.38	17.0	16.9	0.09
Austin Daye	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-15	20	19.5	14.1	5.42	17.6	16.4	1.14
DaJuan Summers	9	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-3	-4	20.7	15.9	4.80	13.0	17.3	-4.30
Kwame Brown	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	21.1	14.7	6.36	17.5	16.7	0.73
Jason Maxiell	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	19.5	14.9	4.60	16.7	17.0	-0.29
Ben Gordon	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	2	-14	18.8	15.1	3.67	17.7	16.5	1.20
Jonas Jerebko	55	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	14.6	19.6	-5.03	16.6	17.4	-0.80
Ben Wallace	56	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	14.8	19.4	-4.56	17.0	16.7	0.38
Rodney Stuckey	70	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-6	2	15.4	21.0	-5.61	16.9	16.7	0.25
Charlie Villanueva	63	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	0	-10	14.7	21.1	-6.36	16.7	17.4	-0.71
Will Bynum	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	1	-12	15.5	18.3	-2.81	16.8	17.1	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, BOS 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0	96.3%
PHX 112, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
MIA 93, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	96.1%