NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	7.8 [134]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +26.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Comeback	1.5 [459]		LVP	Walker Kessler (UTA): -6.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	21	53%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Micah Potter	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	17	60%	0.07	4	-0.08	11	91%	0.05
Collin Sexton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.08	-0.03	22	55%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Walker Kessler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	6	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.14	-0.01	15	63%	0.30	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	12	77%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	17	61%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.00	0.02	14	70%	0.16	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	6	65%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	28.3	14.7	23.3	0.7	35.6	127.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.1%

CLE +8.2%

UTA -30.2%

CLE +18.4%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	12.9	14.3	114.1	125.3	112.0
season	14.9	13.7		109.6	121.5
opponent	14.8	13.7		109.9	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	16.4	16.9	13.8	16.1
CLE	12.5	11.7	13.1	14.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Collier	28	26	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-14	17	18.1	15.4	2.74	11.9	13.3	-1.44
Brice Sensabaugh	21	23	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-17	23	16.1	16.2	-0.06	13.3	12.9	0.41
Kyle Filipowski	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-15	19	16.1	16.2	-0.06	11.2	13.4	-2.21
Jordan Clarkson	66	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.24	4	-15	19	15.9	16.7	-0.83	13.9	11.0	2.83
Johnny Juzang	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	-6	1	15.1	16.6	-1.42	14.4	12.3	2.07
Micah Potter	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	16.2	16.0	0.25	12.2	13.9	-1.69
Svi Mykhailiuk	55	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	5	-21	17.1	15.0	2.05	11.7	14.3	-2.57
Collin Sexton	75	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.4	18.5	-3.11	13.1	12.6	0.46
Lauri Markkanen	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	4	-19	16.0	16.3	-0.29	13.2	12.5	0.61
Walker Kessler	77	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	16.2	16.1	0.06	13.4	11.2	2.21

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	71	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-6	23	12.7	13.5	-0.77	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Donovan Mitchell	71	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-6	23	12.7	13.5	-0.77	15.9	16.7	-0.82
Darius Garland	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.01	21	-10	31	13.0	12.9	0.02	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Caris LeVert	46	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	5	1	14.3	11.8	2.45	16.3	16.0	0.23
Jarrett Allen	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	1	9	12.5	13.5	-1.07	16.6	15.5	1.11
Georges Niang	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	12	-13	13.4	12.6	0.75	16.2	16.1	0.04
Sam Merrill	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	9	-7	13.3	12.6	0.75	15.8	16.5	-0.73
Max Strus	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	15	-19	13.7	12.4	1.25	16.9	15.6	1.30
Jaylon Tyson	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	17	-23	10.9	13.4	-2.48	16.2	16.1	0.09
Ty Jerome	30	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	18	-25	11.9	13.4	-1.55	16.0	16.2	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.73,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.75,0.78,0.89,1,1	93.5%
SEA 103, LAL 119	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%
DEN 93, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1	93.1%