NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	5.8 [616]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +19.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	1.5 [671]		LVP	Jerome Kersey (SEA): -13.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.05	0.02	8	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	20	62%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	19	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08
Sam Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	0.05	17	55%	0.00	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Jerome Kersey	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.22	0.00	0.06	17	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	7	95%	0.16	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.01	17	58%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	18	54%	-0.04	1	-0.01	20	50%	-0.10
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	28.8	17.8	24.4	2.5	32.2	133.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.4%

LAL +6.9%

LAL +8.1%

LAL +4.3%

SEA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAL	NBA	SEA	LAL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.6	112.0	132.2	102.5
season	15.3	14.8		109.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	16.2		102.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.0	16.6	17.1	14.6	16.6
LAL	12.5	14.0	17.1	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	23	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-15	14	15.6	16.9	-1.30	16.2	14.6	1.59
Jerome Kersey	36	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-11	6	15.7	17.2	-1.51	16.1	14.4	1.67
Dale Ellis	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-10	4	16.1	17.1	-1.02	15.6	14.3	1.30
Jim McIlvaine	23	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	18.8	15.9	2.93	13.8	15.4	-1.67
Vin Baker	68	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-2	-12	16.6	16.5	0.17	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Detlef Schrempf	77	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-9	2	16.6	16.3	0.38	14.7	16.6	-1.92
Sam Perkins	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-5	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.35	16.3	14.0	2.27
Gary Payton	87	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-5	-6	16.4	20.0	-3.61	14.9	17.2	-2.31
Hersey Hawkins	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	2	-20	17.4	15.3	2.10	14.1	16.6	-2.45

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	75	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.05	22	-6	28	14.5	17.5	-3.01	16.8	15.2	1.58
Eddie Jones	74	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.08	22	-6	28	14.3	18.4	-4.15	16.6	16.6	-0.07
Nick Van Exel	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	4	8	15.5	14.3	1.11	15.7	17.9	-2.23
Shaquille O'Neal	59	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	4	8	15.4	14.3	1.07	17.3	15.1	2.25
Corie Blount	44	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	9	-2	15.8	14.3	1.56	15.4	17.6	-2.24
Rick Fox	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	13	-10	15.2	14.6	0.62	17.5	15.0	2.43
Elden Campbell	30	31	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	10	-4	14.3	15.4	-1.13	15.1	17.3	-2.25
Derek Fisher	50	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	16	-16	15.6	14.3	1.35	17.6	15.4	2.20
Jon Barry	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	16.0	15.0	0.99	0.0	16.6	-16.59
Mario Bennett	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	11.7	15.1	-3.47	10.7	16.8	-6.12
Sean Rooks	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	16.0	15.0	0.99	0.0	16.6	-16.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.99,1	94.1%
GSW 99, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,0.96,1	93.8%
ATL 92, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.6%