NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	114		Excitement	7.6 [367]		MVP	Ja'Kobe Walter (TOR): +21.1%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	5.2 [663]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -24.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Whitmore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.01	12	71%	0.27	6	-0.18	14	93%	0.07
Alperen Sengun	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.07	-0.03	14	52%	0.15	5	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	9	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Jock Landale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	20	51%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	10	10%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.08	0.03	18	67%	0.25	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	11	65%	0.24	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	7	79%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	14	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	8	50%	0.00	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.20	-0.05	-0.01	15	18%	-0.20	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.0	27.1	14.5	27.5	2.5	34.5	134.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -19.0%

HOU +24.4%

HOU +26.8%

HOU +18.8%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	12.5	14.4	108.6	101.9	113.0
season	14.8	13.9		113.9	109.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		113.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	14.2	14.8	15.4	14.6
TOR	12.2	12.0	14.0	11.9	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	81	83	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.44	10	-6	16	14.6	14.5	0.08	12.6	12.2	0.45
Jae'Sean Tate	32	33	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-10	24	13.9	14.8	-0.90	13.7	12.0	1.75
Cam Whitmore	32	35	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-9	22	13.9	14.9	-0.99	12.3	12.6	-0.29
Alperen Sengun	72	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	0	4	14.8	14.0	0.86	12.2	13.3	-1.10
Amen Thompson	52	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	-3	10	14.5	14.7	-0.20	11.3	13.8	-2.48
Dillon Brooks	79	80	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.43	-7	11	-18	14.6	14.6	-0.02	13.4	9.9	3.48
Fred VanVleet	82	83	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	9	-14	14.5	14.6	-0.06	12.9	11.2	1.70
Jalen Green	73	74	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	7	-10	14.7	14.2	0.49	12.7	12.2	0.49
Jock Landale	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	14	-24	15.4	14.5	0.88	9.4	12.7	-3.29
Reed Sheppard	14	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	7	-10	15.3	14.5	0.84	9.5	13.0	-3.46

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ochai Agbaji	69	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-10	16	13.1	11.4	1.76	14.9	13.9	0.99
Gradey Dick	67	66	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-11	18	13.2	11.4	1.76	14.7	14.3	0.49
Chris Boucher	46	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-4	4	11.1	13.6	-2.48	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Jonathan Mogbo	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	2	-8	13.0	12.3	0.73	16.1	13.8	2.37
Kelly Olynyk	58	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-2	0	12.7	12.3	0.39	13.0	16.3	-3.31
Jamison Battle	42	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	0	-4	10.9	13.6	-2.70	13.1	15.5	-2.40
Jamal Shead	75	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.35	1	-5	6	12.1	13.4	-1.27	15.0	13.7	1.31
Scottie Barnes	89	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	4	-12	11.9	15.3	-3.41	14.6	14.3	0.28
Ja'Kobe Walter	59	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	10	-24	14.2	10.4	3.77	15.0	14.0	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.3%
NYK 96, MIA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.05,0,0	92.1%
ATL 111, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%