inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 111 Excitement5.8 [660] MVPBrandon Knight (MIL): +20.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Comeback4.0 [197] LVPKhris Middleton (MIL): -12.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Muscala0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.060.03879%0.152-0.043100%0.01
Shelvin Mack0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.00769%0.121-0.022100%0.00
Cartier Martin0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.01774%0.131-0.04540%-0.04
Louis Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.06-0.01647%0.0900.007100%0.06
Mike Scott0.090,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.030.011365%0.112-0.0200%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0.070,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.00-0.00972%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Pero Antic0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00842%0.0400.003100%0.02
Elton Brand0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.00250%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Korver0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01470%0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Jeff Teague-0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.040.02861%0.012-0.06250%-0.02
Dennis Schroder-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02440%-0.041-0.022100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.200.070.061877%0.273-0.074100%0.02
Chris Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.00743%0.0100.0000%0.00
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.05-0.031361%0.144-0.14560%-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.030.07-0.030.06683%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00550%0.023-0.07475%0.00
Jeff Adrien0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01557%0.023-0.09450%-0.03
Ramon Sessions0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00643%-0.013-0.092100%0.01
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.060.011744%-0.043-0.092100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.426.015.526.62.629.2125.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +25.6%
ATL +9.0%
MIL -20.1%
ATL +34.5%
ATL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMILNBAATLMILNBA
this game14.615.415.1115.6107.3105.2
season14.815.7103.8101.4
opponent15.115.3109.7104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.615.013.414.314.6
MIL13.814.416.017.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Scott64630.58-0.080.660.2611-31414.415.0-0.6415.814.71.11
Dennis Schroder27270.52-0.020.550.269-11014.114.8-0.6916.714.91.77
Mike Muscala50500.380.120.270.2744014.614.6-0.0115.615.20.34
Louis Williams38380.210.29-0.070.2108-814.214.9-0.6515.915.10.87
Kyle Korver45460.210.29-0.07-0.0810-21214.714.50.1215.015.8-0.76
DeMarre Carroll45460.210.29-0.07-0.0810-21214.714.50.1215.015.8-0.76
Jeff Teague40390.210.29-0.09-0.069-11014.614.6-0.0515.815.10.72
Pero Antic40400.120.38-0.25-0.0871614.814.40.3814.715.9-1.15
Shelvin Mack44430.070.43-0.370.27-715-2215.214.11.1915.115.6-0.46
Cartier Martin49490.060.44-0.370.27-715-2214.514.7-0.1914.915.9-0.98
Elton Brand3839-0.090.59-0.670.09-614-2014.714.50.2215.315.5-0.23

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia4443-0.14-0.360.230.10-80-815.215.6-0.4014.714.50.13
Giannis Antetokounmpo5252-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.394-121615.415.40.0214.814.40.36
Brandon Knight7979-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.10-6-2-415.216.5-1.3814.913.11.88
Jeff Adrien6767-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.21-3-5215.515.20.2714.814.20.57
Khris Middleton7474-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.13-6-2-415.116.3-1.2014.614.50.14
John Henson6869-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.33-1-7615.315.7-0.4514.514.9-0.40
Chris Wright3535-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.23-6-2-416.314.91.4914.314.8-0.41
Ramon Sessions6161-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-146-2015.714.90.8514.015.6-1.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 101, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.15,0,0,093.2%
SAS 106, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.28,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.16,092.8%
HOU 96, WAS 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,092.8%