inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 96 Excitement6.2 [528] MVPJohn Starks (NYK): +20.9%
Miami Heat 86 Comeback4.0 [138] LVPTim Hardaway (MIA): -28.0%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Starks0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.170.070.031186%0.231-0.027100%0.02
Chris Childs0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Larry Johnson0.020,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02-0.030.04-0.022049%0.082-0.06540%-0.04
Anthony Bowie0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Mills-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.01333%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Allan Houston-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.011857%0.084-0.126100%0.03
Terry Cummings-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.00631%-0.031-0.0510%-0.00
Charlie Ward-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.03-0.00546%-0.012-0.08367%-0.01
Charles Oakley-0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.070.011125%-0.171-0.022100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.07-0.01-0.011865%0.132-0.061080%0.02
Voshon Lenard0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.03-0.021762%0.133-0.106100%0.02
Keith Askins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.01350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.02217%-0.0500.00250%0.00
Eric Murdock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.00442%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01633%-0.032-0.07333%-0.03
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01520%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.15-0.130.001538%-0.183-0.10967%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.628.519.426.32.537.3144.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +25.4%
NYK +6.2%
NYK +18.8%
NYK +3.3%
MIA -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMIANBANYKMIANBA
this game16.116.115.6106.796.6102.5
season15.715.8100.4104.7
opponent16.216.399.898.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK15.814.515.019.516.1
MIA13.018.217.016.516.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Starks60580.68-0.180.850.1817-72415.217.9-2.6216.615.01.57
Larry Johnson80780.63-0.130.760.1915-52016.314.51.8315.519.8-4.29
Allan Houston79780.58-0.080.660.2013-31615.818.2-2.3516.115.80.27
Terry Cummings50500.56-0.060.620.1813-31615.816.5-0.7717.214.62.61
Chris Childs42400.440.060.390.2182616.216.00.1716.315.90.40
Charlie Ward51510.050.45-0.40-0.0128-616.116.1-0.0116.116.10.01
Anthony Bowie12-0.040.54-0.580.02-212-1423.016.06.968.016.2-8.24
Charles Oakley5050-0.190.69-0.880.04-818-2616.116.10.0415.716.5-0.72
Chris Mills3738-0.210.71-0.920.02-818-2617.914.92.9615.316.6-1.25

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn20200.13-0.630.77-0.077-172415.816.1-0.3316.616.00.61
Dan Majerle46440.03-0.530.55-0.063-131615.916.3-0.3915.716.5-0.86
Eric Murdock2626-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-6217.815.32.5314.616.7-2.17
Voshon Lenard7577-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-4-215.817.4-1.6316.812.34.46
Tim Hardaway8283-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.13-122-1415.621.1-5.5215.918.7-2.81
Keith Askins3840-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-111-1216.515.70.7716.815.61.26
Alonzo Mourning8485-0.550.05-0.59-0.25-100-1015.918.8-2.9116.411.84.58
P.J. Brown7475-0.590.09-0.68-0.09-177-2416.314.81.5115.718.2-2.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.05,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 101, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.08,0.18,0.1,0.15,0,0,092.9%
IND 95, UTA 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,092.8%
MIA 92, NYK 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,092.4%