NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	5.7 [691]		MVP	CJ Watson (IND): +13.8%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	3.6 [710]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -11.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
George Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	20	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
David West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	18	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,0,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	14	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	28.4	14.8	25.1	1.8	29.0	122.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.6%

UTA -9.3%

IND +5.3%

IND +23.4%

UTA -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.1	105.6	95.6	105.2
season	15.8	16.2		102.7	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		109.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	13.6	16.8	19.2	16.2
UTA	15.6	15.2	16.0	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-5	19	16.2	16.1	0.12	16.0	14.9	1.16
Roy Hibbert	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-4	17	15.7	17.2	-1.50	15.6	16.4	-0.78
George Hill	56	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-2	13	15.7	17.0	-1.34	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Lance Stephenson	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	6	-3	16.1	16.4	-0.34	15.6	16.5	-0.93
Luis Scola	31	30	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	3	3	16.8	15.8	0.93	16.5	15.5	1.05
David West	61	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	6	-3	15.8	16.9	-1.13	15.4	16.7	-1.26
CJ Watson	36	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	11	-13	16.9	15.7	1.16	16.1	15.7	0.41
Orlando Johnson	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	8	-7	16.4	16.0	0.37	16.0	15.7	0.34
Ian Mahinmi	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	13	-17	17.5	15.7	1.76	16.6	15.6	1.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	67	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-12	15	15.6	16.4	-0.81	16.8	13.7	3.08
Andris Biedrins	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-6	3	15.5	15.9	-0.37	15.7	16.2	-0.46
Rudy Gobert	15	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-4	-1	14.7	16.1	-1.40	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Diante Garrett	16	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-6	3	16.3	15.7	0.58	17.3	15.9	1.39
Richard Jefferson	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	16.1	15.6	0.54	14.2	17.9	-3.62
Gordon Hayward	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-8	7	15.6	16.5	-0.92	16.5	15.0	1.50
Enes Kanter	78	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.7	16.7	-1.06	15.5	19.4	-3.88
Brandon Rush	20	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.5	15.6	0.92	15.0	16.5	-1.50
Alec Burks	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-6	3	15.6	16.1	-0.54	17.9	14.2	3.62
Trey Burke	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	15.7	16.3	-0.58	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Michael Harris	12	12	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	19.6	15.3	4.33	19.1	15.7	3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
LAL 112, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
BOS 103, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%