NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	107		Excitement	6.2 [582]		MVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): +17.4%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	2.4 [654]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -19.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.12	0.05	16	53%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.00	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Marco Belinelli	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	8	32%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	13	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.04	0.03	8	75%	0.17	0	0.00	12	83%	0.02
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.01	17	59%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	30%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	8	-0.23	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.3	14.7	29.2	2.4	33.3	134.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +9.1%

SAS +3.5%

SAS +5.6%

SAS +34.4%

SAC -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	15.1	109.2	97.0	104.2
season	15.4	14.9		106.9	103.7
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.1	12.0	14.9	17.8	14.8
SAC	14.3	15.2	14.5	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	38	38	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-3	17	16.9	13.5	3.41	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Tony Parker	62	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	6	-1	15.5	13.6	1.93	14.5	14.4	0.13
Manu Ginobili	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-5	21	14.2	15.2	-0.96	15.2	14.0	1.19
Kawhi Leonard	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	15.1	13.6	1.51	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Danny Green	24	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	5	1	14.2	15.0	-0.85	13.8	14.7	-0.90
Tim Duncan	60	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	0	11	13.8	16.4	-2.64	15.4	13.1	2.28
Tiago Splitter	50	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	11	-11	15.0	14.6	0.40	14.7	14.2	0.47
Aron Baynes	37	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	9	-7	14.3	15.1	-0.82	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Marco Belinelli	56	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.15	9	2	7	13.9	16.0	-2.01	15.8	12.9	2.88
Patty Mills	18	19	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	13	-15	13.1	15.2	-2.08	13.3	14.7	-1.45
Reggie Williams	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	20.0	14.6	5.36	9.0	14.7	-5.66
Cory Joseph	25	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	17	-23	15.3	14.6	0.69	13.6	14.8	-1.20
Matt Bonner	5	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	17	-23	19.8	14.5	5.26	9.8	14.7	-4.90

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	35	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-11	11	14.6	14.3	0.30	14.8	14.8	-0.07
Carl Landry	37	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-18	25	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.0	14.7	0.32
Ryan Hollins	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-15	19	12.8	15.0	-2.19	16.8	14.1	2.73
Derrick Williams	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-7	3	15.7	14.2	1.53	14.9	14.8	0.15
Ben McLemore	72	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	14.6	14.0	0.55	14.2	16.6	-2.35
Rudy Gay	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-7	3	14.0	15.7	-1.70	15.2	13.6	1.56
Jason Thompson	69	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-1	-9	14.9	13.5	1.39	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Reggie Evans	44	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	3	-17	14.6	14.3	0.36	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Omri Casspi	50	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	2	-15	14.0	14.8	-0.80	15.1	14.5	0.54
Ray McCallum	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	1	-13	14.6	13.9	0.70	14.9	14.5	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.7%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.9%
NYK 95, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.08,0	92.7%