NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	6.3 [560]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +19.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	2.9 [57]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -20.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	17	61%	0.26	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	86%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	15	59%	0.19	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.02	14	59%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	15	46%	0.06	8	-0.26	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.4	29.9	17.7	27.5	3.6	43.3	149.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +45.9%

CLE -5.3%

NYK +2.1%

NYK +7.3%

CLE -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	17.1	16.2	15.1	109.2	104.7	104.2
season	16.1	15.9		98.5	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		104.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.2	15.8	16.6	19.0	17.1
CLE	14.1	17.7	18.6	14.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	45	44	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-1	7	16.9	17.4	-0.56	16.3	16.0	0.25
Pablo Prigioni	37	35	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-5	15	15.9	18.1	-2.22	16.1	16.2	-0.16
Carmelo Anthony	63	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-4	13	17.4	16.3	1.11	15.5	18.1	-2.61
Cole Aldrich	24	24	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-5	15	17.6	17.0	0.67	18.0	15.4	2.62
Jason Smith	35	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	3	-1	15.9	18.0	-2.05	16.2	16.1	0.09
Iman Shumpert	52	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.27	-2	7	-9	18.3	15.4	2.91	15.3	17.5	-2.16
Quincy Acy	37	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	18.5	16.2	2.30	17.8	14.7	3.04
Travis Wear	27	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	4	-3	14.6	18.3	-3.69	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Shane Larkin	50	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	10	-15	18.1	15.9	2.22	16.2	16.1	0.16
Tim Hardaway Jr.	10	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	15.3	17.4	-2.08	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Amar'e Stoudemire	44	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.14	-6	11	-17	17.3	17.0	0.27	15.9	16.4	-0.57
Samuel Dalembert	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	7	-9	16.7	17.2	-0.47	14.8	16.3	-1.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	5	6	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-9	13	16.6	16.1	0.48	17.2	17.1	0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-11	17	13.7	17.8	-4.16	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Shawn Marion	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-4	3	17.3	15.9	1.42	18.1	16.9	1.23
Tristan Thompson	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-4	3	17.6	15.2	2.33	16.7	17.4	-0.76
Anderson Varejao	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	3	-11	17.2	14.8	2.39	17.3	16.9	0.39
Dion Waiters	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.1	0.06	16.8	18.3	-1.51
Kevin Love	68	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	15.9	17.3	-1.42	16.9	18.1	-1.23
Kyrie Irving	78	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	15.9	18.1	-2.18	17.6	13.3	4.24
LeBron James	77	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.30	-13	8	-21	16.2	16.1	0.04	17.2	16.7	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	93.1%
SAS 95, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.8%
SAS 107, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%