NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	5.9 [650]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +26.0%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	3.3 [191]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -15.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.14	0.00	5	87%	0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Delonte West	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	55%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Orien Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	4	70%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	20	48%	-0.01	4	-0.13	6	50%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	17	36%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	25%	-0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	12	27%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.7	16.6	28.4	2.4	30.4	133.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +56.0%

BOS +10.1%

IND -11.6%

IND -5.2%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.6	112.0	95.7	104.4
season	14.8	16.0		103.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.8	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.9	13.3	13.3	15.7	14.7
IND	16.6	17.4	17.4	14.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	35	35	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	4	7	14.5	14.9	-0.44	18.5	15.4	3.13
Gerald Green	13	13	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	7	1	14.4	14.8	-0.40	18.4	16.3	2.11
Wally Szczerbiak	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	1	13	14.8	14.5	0.37	16.0	18.3	-2.32
Kendrick Perkins	29	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	5	5	15.8	14.2	1.61	18.9	15.4	3.46
Tony Allen	20	20	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	4	7	15.8	14.4	1.37	15.1	17.0	-1.82
Delonte West	77	77	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	7	1	14.5	16.0	-1.52	16.2	18.3	-2.02
Paul Pierce	76	76	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	7	1	14.6	15.2	-0.56	16.5	17.1	-0.66
Ryan Gomes	57	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	12	-9	14.7	14.8	-0.07	15.7	18.0	-2.26
Raef LaFrentz	58	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	13	-11	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.6	18.1	-2.43
Orien Greene	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	15	-15	14.9	14.6	0.28	18.2	15.9	2.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	58	58	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-14	13	17.0	15.8	1.24	14.2	15.6	-1.32
Anthony Johnson	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-5	-5	15.4	18.3	-2.89	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Jamaal Tinsley	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-10	5	18.3	15.4	2.89	14.8	14.7	0.13
Peja Stojakovic	70	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-2	-11	16.0	18.3	-2.23	15.2	13.2	2.07
Fred Jones	53	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	16.5	16.7	-0.20	14.8	14.6	0.27
Danny Granger	60	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-5	-5	16.0	17.7	-1.75	15.4	13.4	1.97
David Harrison	50	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-3	-9	17.7	15.2	2.55	14.2	15.3	-1.17
Stephen Jackson	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.13	-12	-3	-9	16.5	17.0	-0.51	14.4	16.6	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 116, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
IND 95, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.2%
SAC 105, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0	92.9%