inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 105 Excitement7.0 [412] MVPMarcus Thornton (SAC): +14.2%
Orlando Magic 100 Comeback3.9 [212] LVPDeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -19.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.06-0.001075%0.202-0.0600%0.00
Rudy Gay0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.080.012052%0.162-0.064100%0.02
Ben McLemore0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.013112%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Jimmer Fredette0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.010.07-0.020.031568%0.134-0.114100%0.01
Jason Thompson0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.01769%0.062-0.04250%-0.01
Derrick Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Travis Outlaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins-0.190,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19-0.12-0.060.011438%-0.074-0.12944%-0.06

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.130.130.130.030.021170%0.151-0.02875%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.01965%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Doron Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00362%0.061-0.05250%-0.02
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,00.00-0.03-0.00-0.031341%0.041-0.04333%-0.05
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04-0.040.12-0.090.061763%0.022-0.06771%-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.060.01862%0.034-0.1400%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.070.00937%-0.052-0.0710%-0.01
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.01633%-0.025-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.431.315.828.72.438.4144.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +42.3%
ORL -5.1%
SAC +4.8%
SAC +10.4%
ORL -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACORLNBASACORLNBA
this game15.315.515.1112.9106.4105.2
season15.415.3104.5100.4
opponent15.014.7105.9107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.913.813.717.815.3
ORL13.615.020.613.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Thornton43430.78-0.281.060.3116-112716.014.71.3415.615.40.15
Jason Thompson70720.73-0.230.970.3812-71915.315.20.1116.312.83.56
Rudy Gay75750.66-0.160.820.409-41315.614.11.4815.714.80.89
Isaiah Thomas81830.57-0.070.640.319-41315.414.31.1115.813.42.42
Quincy Acy24260.370.130.230.138-31114.215.7-1.4715.215.6-0.37
DeMarcus Cousins70710.050.45-0.390.08-16-715.514.60.9215.615.10.49
Travis Outlaw2221-0.010.51-0.520.08-38-1115.015.4-0.4512.916.3-3.40
Jimmer Fredette1211-0.070.57-0.640.05-49-1314.315.4-1.1113.415.8-2.42
Aaron Gray1211-0.070.57-0.640.05-49-1314.315.4-1.1113.415.8-2.42
Ben McLemore3233-0.160.66-0.820.04-712-1915.015.5-0.4616.115.20.96
Derrick Williams2424-0.360.86-1.21-0.06-1015-2514.715.5-0.8614.715.8-1.12

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle O'Quinn3229-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-2-116.215.11.0914.315.8-1.49
Doron Lamb2020-0.08-0.420.33-0.080-5515.415.5-0.1315.015.4-0.32
Glen Davis5655-0.14-0.360.23-0.161-6715.815.10.7116.214.02.24
Maurice Harkless3029-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-1-316.415.11.3214.415.7-1.29
Jameer Nelson5757-0.20-0.300.11-0.231-6715.415.6-0.2515.714.71.04
Nikola Vucevic5153-0.24-0.260.03-0.21-1-4316.414.51.8615.415.10.27
Victor Oladipo4342-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.24-4-1-314.316.5-2.1615.415.20.15
Tobias Harris6464-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.33-1-4315.116.4-1.3215.714.41.29
Arron Afflalo7473-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.27-50-515.515.40.1315.415.00.32
Andrew Nicholson4343-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.23-94-1314.916.0-1.1414.116.4-2.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.41,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 103, IND 880.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,092.9%
ATL 85, DET 720.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,092.8%
WAS 116, MIA 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.05,0,0,0,0,092.5%