NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	116		Excitement	6.0 [599]		MVP	Rodney Carney (PHI): +33.9%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	3.5 [245]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -8.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.16	0.18	0.00	6	117%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.22	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	0.01	15	69%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	14	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	10	79%	0.12	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	13	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	14	66%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.03	0.02	16	55%	0.11	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.5	15.6	26.2	2.6	34.0	133.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.4%

PHI +14.6%

SAC -11.2%

PHI +9.3%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.2	15.3	120.8	110.4	106.0
season	15.1	15.2		104.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		108.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.6	15.4	14.5	17.0	14.8
SAC	13.6	18.0	15.5	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-6	22	14.7	14.8	-0.09	15.5	14.1	1.39
Andre Iguodala	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-7	24	14.7	15.1	-0.43	15.6	13.6	2.07
Elton Brand	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	0	10	15.7	13.7	2.03	15.9	14.4	1.57
Rodney Carney	30	29	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	4	2	15.8	14.3	1.56	16.1	14.9	1.29
Royal Ivey	22	21	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	8	-6	17.4	14.0	3.44	15.6	15.1	0.42
Allen Iverson	67	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	0	10	13.9	16.9	-3.01	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Thaddeus Young	56	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	7	-4	13.9	16.0	-2.12	14.2	16.6	-2.42
Marreese Speights	24	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	1	8	16.7	14.1	2.60	17.7	14.4	3.30
Samuel Dalembert	42	41	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	10	-10	13.4	15.8	-2.45	14.7	15.7	-0.97
Jason Kapono	13	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	17	-24	13.5	15.0	-1.50	12.7	15.7	-2.96
Jason Smith	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	17	-24	15.3	14.7	0.63	10.9	15.6	-4.76
Jrue Holiday	10	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	19	-28	15.0	14.7	0.27	12.1	15.6	-3.50

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-7	4	17.1	14.9	2.23	15.8	14.6	1.20
Ime Udoka	33	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	14.5	15.6	-1.15	15.4	14.4	0.92
Jon Brockman	15	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-8	6	15.9	15.1	0.74	15.9	14.5	1.43
Omri Casspi	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-12	14	14.3	18.4	-4.05	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-2	-6	16.0	14.7	1.39	15.7	14.1	1.70
Jason Thompson	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	15.6	14.4	1.23	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Spencer Hawes	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	15.1	15.4	-0.29	13.9	16.0	-2.09
Beno Udrih	75	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	14.9	16.4	-1.46	14.3	16.1	-1.74
Sergio Rodriguez	43	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-6	2	15.8	14.8	0.96	15.9	13.8	2.04
Donte Greene	62	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	15.4	15.0	0.37	14.4	15.3	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.2%
MEM 107, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.18,0	93.4%
SAS 83, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.19,0.34,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%