NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	4.2 [311]		MVP	Kelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): +20.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	108		Comeback	1.0 [287]		LVP	Paul George (PHI): -7.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DaQuan Jeffries	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Cody Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.09	14	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00
Isaiah Wong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Tidjane Salaun	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Josh Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	13	47%	0.04	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.00	0.02	10	96%	0.21	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	24	60%	0.20	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.02
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	18	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	12	21%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.8	14.7	29.5	2.3	32.3	135.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.8%

PHI +7.3%

PHI +12.8%

PHI +6.3%

PHI +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	14.3	106.5	114.9	111.9
season	15.0	15.2		108.1	107.1
opponent	14.3	14.3		111.2	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	15.1	17.7	14.5	16.0
PHI	14.8	14.9	14.2	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	34	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-14	18	15.4	16.3	-0.93	15.1	15.0	0.12
Isaiah Wong	28	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-12	14	16.4	15.8	0.61	15.1	15.0	0.08
Seth Curry	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	17.7	15.6	2.03	15.3	15.0	0.32
DaQuan Jeffries	57	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.29	6	-16	22	16.3	15.5	0.78	15.0	15.0	0.06
Tidjane Salaun	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-13	16	15.8	16.1	-0.37	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Josh Green	62	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	15.2	17.5	-2.27	15.6	13.6	1.99
Cody Martin	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	4	-18	16.0	15.9	0.10	14.5	15.4	-0.80
Vasilije Micic	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	16.0	15.9	0.07	14.6	16.1	-1.60
Nick Richards	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	4	-18	16.3	15.4	0.93	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Miles Bridges	55	58	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.05	-19	9	-28	15.9	16.1	-0.14	15.1	14.9	0.20

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-2	14	15.0	15.1	-0.06	15.8	16.6	-0.80
Joel Embiid	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.02	18	-8	26	15.0	15.1	-0.13	15.9	16.0	-0.10
KJ Martin	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-10	30	14.9	15.2	-0.38	16.5	15.3	1.20
Tyrese Maxey	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	15.5	13.5	1.91	16.1	15.4	0.76
Paul George	78	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	5	0	15.1	14.6	0.54	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Andre Drummond	17	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	9	-8	15.5	14.9	0.56	17.8	15.5	2.32
Kyle Lowry	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	10	-10	13.8	15.4	-1.65	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Guerschon Yabusele	27	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	12	-14	14.0	15.4	-1.37	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Ricky Council IV	24	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	17	-24	15.9	14.7	1.16	16.0	16.0	0.04
Eric Gordon	34	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.26	-13	23	-36	15.0	15.0	0.03	15.0	16.5	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 118, DET 128	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ATL 75, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
IND 95, CLE 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.4%