NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	75		Excitement	3.0 [1184]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +10.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	1.0 [1136]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -13.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	9	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Matt Freije	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	16	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	9	58%	0.03	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	10	23%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	5	21%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	0.06	23	50%	-0.05	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	71%	0.15	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	4	92%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	21	57%	0.12	7	-0.09	14	93%	0.03
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	16	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.0	31.1	14.8	27.2	2.3	33.7	139.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.5%

PHI +6.2%

PHI +2.0%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.4	85.2	97.8	104.5
season	16.1	15.5		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.2	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	15.8	15.0	13.7	15.5
PHI	15.5	14.2	16.3	21.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Bozeman	3	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-15	17	7.7	15.8	-8.10	31.0	16.5	14.47
Solomon Jones	13	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-14	15	13.5	15.8	-2.38	11.7	17.6	-5.84
Salim Stoudamire	17	17	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-18	23	15.4	15.5	-0.10	13.9	17.5	-3.59
Tyronn Lue	42	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-16	19	14.5	16.4	-1.98	18.2	15.7	2.46
Josh Childress	67	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.41	12	-25	37	13.9	20.7	-6.86	17.1	16.1	1.00
Matt Freije	6	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-8	3	17.5	15.3	2.16	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Shelden Williams	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	7	-27	19.1	14.0	5.15	17.1	16.7	0.42
Speedy Claxton	49	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	7	-27	16.5	14.2	2.31	16.9	16.8	0.07
Zaza Pachulia	76	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-4	-5	15.9	12.7	3.27	17.0	15.9	1.08
Josh Smith	59	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	5	-23	15.7	15.1	0.63	16.5	17.7	-1.26
Joe Johnson	82	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	3	-19	15.5	15.2	0.35	17.1	11.2	5.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	61	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.18	23	-10	33	17.2	16.1	1.16	16.0	14.4	1.55
Andre Iguodala	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-1	15	16.7	17.8	-1.10	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Kevin Ollie	43	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-8	29	18.8	15.0	3.79	17.6	13.5	4.12
Allen Iverson	81	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	3	7	17.3	12.9	4.41	15.5	15.3	0.25
Samuel Dalembert	44	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	3	7	19.4	14.4	4.95	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Kyle Korver	55	55	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.41	-8	21	-29	15.7	18.6	-2.90	14.2	17.7	-3.48
Rodney Carney	17	15	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.01	5	8	-3	16.3	17.0	-0.69	15.3	15.5	-0.27
Steven Hunter	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	11	-9	14.6	18.5	-3.89	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Shavlik Randolph	14	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	19	-25	12.9	17.6	-4.73	15.5	15.5	0.01
Willie Green	21	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	19	-25	15.5	17.3	-1.80	13.8	16.1	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 102, SAS 130	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 90, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	96.5%
DEN 109, SAC 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%