NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	109		Excitement	2.7 [1214]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +17.8%
Sacramento Kings	131		Comeback	1.0 [939]		LVP	Kenneth Faried (DEN): -7.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.16	-0.02	0.09	11	79%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	78%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	55%	-0.00	2	0.00	3	67%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.00	-0.01	14	77%	0.20	3	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.19	0.00	0.09	12	85%	0.17	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	6	82%	0.06	0	0.00	10	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.06	4	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	37.3	4.0	39.6	1.7	31.6	143.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +23.8%

SAC +10.3%

SAC +10.1%

SAC +5.5%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	15.1	106.9	127.2	104.2
season	14.6	14.9		103.4	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.3		107.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.3	11.9	15.4	11.9	13.6
SAC	12.0	15.4	14.6	16.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	34	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-34	46	12.9	13.9	-1.06	15.2	14.2	0.95
Alonzo Gee	35	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-22	22	11.9	14.4	-2.50	16.6	13.4	3.19
Randy Foye	59	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-26	30	12.0	15.7	-3.62	15.8	12.8	2.95
Darrell Arthur	38	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-20	18	13.2	13.7	-0.51	14.2	14.7	-0.58
Nate Robinson	45	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.16	-8	-14	6	12.4	14.5	-2.07	15.2	14.0	1.25
Jusuf Nurkic	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.32	7	-29	36	12.1	14.1	-1.97	15.6	14.1	1.47
JaVale McGee	26	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.36	-19	-3	-16	14.8	13.1	1.62	14.3	14.6	-0.37
Timofey Mozgov	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.32	-21	-1	-20	15.8	12.9	2.93	12.6	15.1	-2.53
Kenneth Faried	44	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.12	-15	-7	-8	14.1	13.2	0.94	14.6	14.5	0.14
Wilson Chandler	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.29	-24	2	-26	14.0	12.8	1.23	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Arron Afflalo	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.36	-29	7	-36	15.5	11.9	3.58	12.5	16.2	-3.68
Ty Lawson	68	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	-7	-8	14.3	12.1	2.12	13.8	16.1	-2.34

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.62	39	-17	56	13.5	16.5	-3.04	14.6	11.6	2.94
Ben McLemore	78	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.56	37	-15	52	13.6	17.6	-4.05	14.3	11.3	3.02
Rudy Gay	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.56	36	-14	50	14.2	15.7	-1.48	13.9	12.1	1.84
DeMarcus Cousins	50	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	-4	30	12.9	16.1	-3.25	14.8	12.3	2.47
Jason Thompson	34	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	4	14	13.4	15.1	-1.76	15.7	12.5	3.19
Reggie Evans	40	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	7	8	15.5	13.9	1.66	13.5	13.6	-0.16
Ray McCallum	16	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	22	-22	12.9	14.8	-1.89	12.1	13.8	-1.67
Omri Casspi	45	46	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	35	-48	15.9	13.5	2.41	12.5	14.4	-1.85
Derrick Williams	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	28	-34	14.5	14.5	0.01	12.2	13.7	-1.48
Ryan Hollins	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	10.8	14.7	-3.92	12.0	13.6	-1.62
Ramon Sessions	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.36	-13	35	-48	17.8	13.6	4.24	11.4	14.2	-2.80
Nik Stauskas	35	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.47	-17	39	-56	16.5	13.5	3.04	11.6	14.6	-2.94
Carl Landry	33	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	27	-32	16.3	13.7	2.65	12.0	14.4	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DAL 88, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 81, BKN 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%